Current trauma-induced coagulopathy resuscitation protocols use slow laboratory measurements, rules-of-thumb, and clinician gestalt to administer large volumes of uncharacterized, non-tailored blood products. These one-size-fits-all treatment approaches have high mortality. Here, we provide significant evidence that trauma patient survival 24 h after hospital admission occurs if and only if blood protein coagulation factor concentrations equilibrate at a normal value, either from inadvertent plasma-based modulation or from innate compensation. This result motivates quantitatively guiding trauma patient coagulation factor levels while accounting for protein interactions. Toward such treatment, we develop a Goal-oriented Coagulation Management (GCM) algorithm, a personalized and automated ordered sequence of operations to compute and specify coagulation factor concentrations that rectify clotting. This novel GCM algorithm also integrates new control-oriented advancements that we make in this work: an improvement of a prior thrombin dynamics model that captures the coagulation process to control, a use of rapidly-measurable concentrations to help predict patient state, and an accounting of patient-specific effects and limitations when adding coagulation factors to remedy coagulopathy. Validation of the GCM algorithm’s guidance shows superior performance over clinical practice in attaining normal coagulation factor concentrations and normal clotting profiles simultaneously.
This article is motivated by the pressing need to robustly automate clinical interventions for trauma-induced coagulopathy (TIC). TIC occurs after severe trauma and shock, and has poor outcomes and about 30% mortality. Although modulating the blood proteins that drive TIC can improve patient outcomes, no practical control-oriented methodology exists to accurately capture biochemical process dynamics and satisfactorily regulate clotting. Hence, we propose a nonlinear dynamic coagulation model that distills the complex biochemical reactions of clotting and also simultaneously generalizes an existing linear phenomenological model. Using our new nonlinear model, we demonstrate the feasibility of model predictive control (MPC) to automate clinical treatments, first in a single-input case that is similar to current open-loop clinical practice, and second in a multi-input case that administers three blood proteins as system inputs to attain satisfactory TIC treatment. The output in both cases is the key clotting protein thrombin. To test robustness, we confirm that both single-input and multi-input MPC are suitable for TIC treatment in the presence of an experimentally observed nonlinearity, an unknown state-dependent power law input delay. Thus, this article provides a strong foundation to transition current open-loop clinical approaches to closed-loop process control.
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