Theories of retrospective accountability assume that voters punish poor governance and reward improvements, yet empirical evidence remains mixed. We extend this research to a new context, assessing the impact of audits on electoral outcomes in South African municipalities. Our novel identification strategy focuses on by-elections triggered by deaths in office of local councilors and compares those taking place before and after audit results are announced each year. We find that timely audit information affects the vote share of the responsible party, with voters rewarding improvements and punishing poor audits by about 5 percentage points. Additional individual-level survey evidence confirms the underpinning behavioral response more generally. These results suggest that the effects of audits may depend on their scale – both their spatial and temporal coverage and the nature of their dissemination. Our study is the first to demonstrate electoral accountability effects of audits at full scale.
Berliner, Daniel, Brian Palmer-Rubin, Jésica E. Tapia Reyes, Benjamin E. Bagozzi, Aaron Erlich. (2022). Big data y acceso a la información en México (Informe de la Política Pública). The London School of Economics and Political Science. URL: bigdataytransparenciamx.lse.ac.uk/• El uso de la información ha crecido con el tiempo en respuesta a una gran variedadde necesidades.• Mayor profesionalización de ciudadanos y miembros de la sociedad civil que la solicitan; desarrollo de un ecosistema de expertos en transparencia y rendición de cuentas.• Aumento de respuestas engañosas por parte de los sujetos obligados, sobre todo para los solicitantes no expertos.• Sugerencia de política pública: mejorar el sistema para rastrear los textos de las respuestas en formatos más accesibles.• Sugerencia de política pública: mejorar la capacitación en las Unidades de Transparencia para estandarizar las prácticas para contestar a solicitudes de información pública.• Sugerencia de política pública: fortalecer los lazos del INAI con las organizaciones de la sociedad civil y enlistar a estas últimas como intermediarias para apoyar el uso ciudadano del sistema.• Para más información, ver la página web del proyecto: bigdataytransparenciamx.lse.ac.uk/
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