Solution concepts of traditional game theory assume entirely rational players; therefore, their ability to exploit subrational opponents is limited. One type of subrationality that describes human behavior well is the quantal response. While there exist algorithms for computing solutions against quantal opponents, they either do not scale or may provide strategies that are even worse than the entirely-rational Nash strategies. This paper aims to analyze and propose scalable algorithms for computing effective and robust strategies against a quantal opponent in normal-form and extensive-form games. Our contributions are: (1) we define two different solution concepts related to exploiting quantal opponents and analyze their properties; (2) we prove that computing these solutions is computationally hard; (3) therefore, we evaluate several heuristic approximations based on scalable counterfactual regret minimization (CFR); and (4) we identify a CFR variant that exploits the bounded opponents better than the previously used variants while being less exploitable by the worst-case perfectly-rational opponent.

Solution concepts of traditional game theory assume entirely rational players; therefore, their ability to exploit subrational opponents is limited. One type of subrationality that describes human behavior well is the quantal response. While there exist algorithms for computing solutions against quantal opponents, they either do not scale or may provide strategies that are even worse than the entirely-rational Nash strategies. This paper aims to analyze and propose scalable algorithms for computing effective and robust strategies against a quantal opponent in normal-form and extensive-form games. Our contributions are: (1) we define two different solution concepts related to exploiting quantal opponents and analyze their properties; (2) we prove that computing these solutions is computationally hard; (3) therefore, we evaluate several heuristic approximations based on scalable counterfactual regret minimization (CFR); and (4) we identify a CFR variant that exploits the bounded opponents better than the previously used variants while being less exploitable by the worst-case perfectly-rational opponent.

Many recent results in imperfect information games were only formulated for, or evaluated on, poker and poker-like games such as liar's dice. We argue that sequential Bayesian games constitute a natural class of games for generalizing these results. In particular, this model allows for an elegant formulation of the counterfactual regret minimization algorithm, called publicstate CFR (PS-CFR), which naturally lends itself to an efficient implementation. Empirically, solving a poker subgame with 10 7 states by public-state CFR takes 3 minutes and 700 MB while a comparable version of vanilla CFR takes 5.5 hours and 20 GB. Additionally, the public-state formulation of CFR opens up the possibility for exploiting domain-specific assumptions, leading to a quadratic reduction in asymptotic complexity (and a further empirical speedup) over vanilla CFR in poker and other domains. Overall, this suggests that the ability to represent poker as a Bayesian extensive game played a key role in the success of CFR-based methods. Finally, we extend public-state CFR to general extensive-form games, arguing that this extension enjoys some -but not all -of the benefits of the version for sequential Bayesian games.