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What will the long-term impact of President Vladimir Putin’s decision to invade Ukraine be upon the Russian state? This article assesses the likely outcomes of the Kremlin’s war of aggression in Ukraine across a spectrum of economic, military, political, and social factors to evidence the scale of Russian miscalculation regarding its disastrous decision to invade Ukraine, and argues for the inevitability of Russian strategic decline as a direct consequence of its reckless military adventurism.