Objective:This study aims to evaluate the role of scalp electroencephalography (EEG; ictal and interictal patterns) in predicting resective epilepsy surgery outcomes. We use the data to further develop a nomogram to predict seizure freedom.Methods:We retrospectively reviewed the scalp EEG findings and clinical data of patients who underwent surgical resection at three epilepsy centers. Using both EEG and clinical variables categorized into 13 isolated candidate predictors and 6 interaction terms, we built a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model to predict seizure freedom 2 years after surgery. Harrell's step-down procedure was used to sequentially eliminate the least-informative variables from the model until the change in the concordance index (c-index) with variable removal was less than 0.01. We created a separate model using only clinical variables. Discrimination of the two models was compared to evaluate the role of scalp EEG in seizure-freedom prediction.Results:Four hundred seventy patient records were analyzed. Following internal validation, the full Clinical + EEG model achieved an optimism-corrected c-index of 0.65, whereas the c-index of the model without EEG data was 0.59. The presence of focal to bilateral tonic-clonic seizures (FBTCS), high preoperative seizure frequency, absence of hippocampal sclerosis, and presence of nonlocalizable seizures predicted worse outcome. The presence of FBTCS had the largest impact for predicting outcome. The analysis of the models' interactions showed that in patients with unilateral interictal epileptiform discharges (IEDs), temporal lobe surgery cases had a better outcome. In cases with bilateral IEDs, abnormal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) predicted worse outcomes, and in cases without IEDs, patients with extratemporal epilepsy and abnormal MRI had better outcomes.
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: NeuroQuant is an FDA-approved software that performs automated MR imaging quantitative volumetric analysis. This study aimed to compare the accuracy of NeuroQuant analysis with visual MR imaging analysis by neuroradiologists with expertise in epilepsy in identifying hippocampal sclerosis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We reviewed 144 adult patients who underwent presurgical evaluation for temporal lobe epilepsy. The reference standard for hippocampal sclerosis was defined by having hippocampal sclerosis on pathology (n ¼ 61) or not having hippocampal sclerosis on pathology (n ¼ 83). Sensitivities, specificities, positive predictive values, and negative predictive values were compared between NeuroQuant analysis and visual MR imaging analysis by using a McNemar paired test of proportions and the Bayes theorem. RESULTS: NeuroQuant analysis had a similar specificity to neuroradiologist visual MR imaging analysis (90.4% versus 91.6%; P ¼ .99) but a lower sensitivity (69.0% versus 93.0%, P , .001). The positive predictive value of NeuroQuant analysis was comparable with visual MR imaging analysis (84.0% versus 89.1%), whereas the negative predictive value was not comparable (79.8% versus 95.0%). CONCLUSIONS: Visual MR imaging analysis by a neuroradiologist with expertise in epilepsy had a higher sensitivity than did NeuroQuant analysis, likely due to the inability of NeuroQuant to evaluate changes in hippocampal T2 signal or architecture. Given that there was no significant difference in specificity between NeuroQuant analysis and visual MR imaging analysis, NeuroQuant can be a valuable tool when the results are positive, particularly in centers that lack neuroradiologists with expertise in epilepsy, to help identify and refer candidates for temporal lobe epilepsy resection. In contrast, a negative test could justify a case referral for further evaluation to ensure that false-negatives are detected.
College student use of the internet for online social networking purposes is increasing in popularity. Facebook is a social networking website used by college students, with estimates of over 7.5 million users spanning over 2,000 colleges and universities. Unfortunately, Facebook users can encounter some detrimental consequences, including fear of victimization. The purpose of the present study is to examine the correlates and structure of potential fear from using Facebook. Using self-report data from 224 college students at a southeastern university during the spring 2007 semester, we examine the link that low self-control has with perceived risk and with fear of online victimization among Facebook users. The results of the present study are discussed in the context of policy implications.
Quantitative volumetric brain MRI measurement is important in research applications, but translating it into patient care is challenging. We explore the incorporation of clinical automated quantitative MRI measurements in statistical models predicting outcomes of surgery for temporal lobe epilepsy. 435 patients with drug-resistant epilepsy who underwent temporal lobe surgery at Cleveland Clinic, Mayo Clinic, and University of Campinas were studied. We obtained volumetric measurements from the preoperative T1-weighted MRI using NeuroQuant, a Food and Drug Administration approved software package. We created sets of statistical models to predict the probability of complete seizure-freedom or an Engel score of I at last follow-up. The cohort was randomly split into training and testing sets, with a ratio of 7:3. Model discrimination was assessed using the concordance statistic (C-statistic). We compared four sets of models and selected the one with the highest concordance index. Volumetric differences in pre-surgical MRI located predominantly in the frontocentral and temporal regions were associated with poorer outcomes. The addition of volumetric measurements to the model with clinical variables alone increased the model’s c-statistic from 0.58 to 0.70 (right-sided surgery) and from 0.61 to 0.66 (left-sided surgery) for complete seizure freedom and from 0.62 to 0.67 (right-sided surgery) and from 0.68 to 0.73 (left-sided surgery) for an Engel I outcome score. 57% of patients with extra-temporal abnormalities were seizure-free at last follow-up, compared to 68% of those with no such abnormalities (p-value=0.02) Adding quantitative MRI data increases the performance of a model developed to predict postoperative seizure outcomes. The distribution of the regions of interest included in the final model supports the notion that focal epilepsies are network disorders and that subtle cortical volume loss outside the surgical site influences seizure outcome.
More than half of adults with epilepsy undergoing resective epilepsy surgery achieve long-term seizure freedom and might consider withdrawing antiseizure medications (ASMs). We aimed to identify predictors of seizure recurrence after starting postoperative ASM withdrawal and develop and validate predictive models. We performed an international multicentre observational cohort study in nine tertiary epilepsy referral centres. We included 850 adults who started ASM withdrawal following resective epilepsy surgery and were free of seizures other than focal non-motor aware seizures before starting ASM withdrawal. We developed a model predicting recurrent seizures, other than focal non-motor aware seizures, using Cox proportional hazards regression in a derivation cohort (n = 231). Independent predictors of seizure recurrence, other than focal non-motor aware seizures, following the start of ASM withdrawal were focal non motor-aware seizures after surgery and before withdrawal (adjusted hazards ratio [aHR] 5.5, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.7-11.1), history of focal to bilateral tonic-clonic seizures before surgery (aHR 1.6, 95% CI 0.9-2.8), time from surgery to the start of ASM withdrawal (aHR 0.9, 95% CI 0.8-0.9), and number of ASMs at time of surgery (aHR 1.2, 95% CI 0.9-1.6). Model discrimination showed a concordance statistic of 0.67 (95% CI 0.63-0.71) in the external validation cohorts (n = 500). A secondary model predicting recurrence of any seizures (including focal non-motor aware seizures) was developed and validated in a subgroup that did not have focal non-motor aware seizures before withdrawal (n = 639), showing a concordance statistic of 0.68 (95% CI 0.64-0.72). Calibration plots indicated high agreement of predicted and observed outcomes for both models. We show that simple algorithms, available as graphical nomograms and online tools (predictepilepsy.github.io), can provide probabilities of seizure outcomes after starting postoperative ASMs withdrawal. These multicentre-validated models may assist clinicians when discussing ASM withdrawal after surgery with their patients.
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