Eroding permafrost coasts are likely indicators and integrators of changes in the Arctic System as they are susceptible to the combined effects of declining sea ice extent, increases in open water duration, more frequent and impactful storms, sea-level rise, and warming permafrost. However, few observation sites in the Arctic have yet to link decadal-scale erosion rates with changing environmental conditions due to temporal data gaps. This study increases the temporal fidelity of coastal permafrost bluff observations using near-annual high spatial resolution (<1 m) satellite imagery acquired between 2008-2017 for a 9 km segment of coastline at Drew Point, Beaufort Sea coast, Alaska. Our results show that mean annual erosion for the 2007-2016 decade was 17.2 m yr −1 , which is 2.5 times faster than historic rates, indicating that bluff erosion at this site is likely responding to changes in the Arctic System. In spite of a sustained increase in decadal-scale mean annual erosion rates, mean open water season erosion varied from 6.7 m yr −1 in 2010 to more than 22.0 m yr −1 in 2007, 2012, and 2016. This variability provided a range of coastal responses through which we explored the different roles of potential environmental drivers. The lack of significant correlations between mean open water season erosion and the environmental variables compiled in this study indicates that we may not be adequately capturing the environmental forcing factors, that the system is conditioned by long-term transient effects or extreme weather events rather than annual variability, or that other not yet considered factors may be responsible for the increased erosion occurring at Drew Point. Our results highlight an increase in erosion at Drew Point in the 21st century as well as the complexities associated with unraveling the factors responsible for changing coastal permafrost bluffs in the Arctic.

No abstract

No abstract

No abstract

Deep-water offshore sites are an untapped opportunity to bring large-scale offshore wind energy to coastal population centers. The primary challenge has been the projected high costs for floating offshore wind systems. This work presents a comprehensive investigation of a new opportunity for deep-water offshore wind using large-scale vertical axis wind turbines. Owing to inherent features of this technology, there is a potential transformational opportunity to address the major cost drivers for floating wind using vertical axis wind turbines. The focus of this report is to evaluate the technical potential for this new technology. The approach to evaluating this potential was to perform system design studies focused on improving the understanding of technical performance parameters while looking for cost reduction opportunities. VAWT design codes were developed in order to perform these design studies. To gain a better understanding of the design space for floating VAWT systems, a comprehensive design study of multiple rotor configuration options was carried out. Floating platforms and moorings were then sized and evaluated for each of the candidate rotor configurations. Preliminary LCOE estimates and LCOE ranges were produced based on the design study results for each of the major turbine and system components. The major outcomes of this study are a comprehensive technology assessment of VAWT performance and preliminary LCOE estimates that demonstrate that floating VAWTs may have favorable performance and costs in comparison to conventional HAWTs in the deep-water offshore environment where floating systems are required, indicating that this new technology warrants further study.