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ABSTRACT. A predictive model of carbon isotope fractionation (E,) and abundance (613Cphglo) is presented under circumstances where photosynthesis is strictly based on C02(aq) that passively diffuses into marine phytoplankton cells. Similar to other recent models, the one presented here is based on a formulation where the expression of intracellular enzymatic isotope fractionation relative to that imposed by CO,(aq) transport is scaled by the ratio of intracellular to external [ C 0 2 ( a q ) J , c,/c, Unlike previous models, an explicit calculation of c, is made that is dependent on c, as well as cell radius, cell growth rate, cell membrane permeability to C02(aq), temperature, and, to a limited extent, pH and salinity. This allows direct scaling of ci/c, to each of these factors, and thus a direct prediction of E, and 6'3Cvhs,o responses to changes in each of these variables. These responses are described, and, where possible, compared to recent experimental and previous modellng results.

In this article, we analyze the impacts of climate change on Antarctic marine ecosystems. Observations demonstrate large-scale changes in the physical variables and circulation of the Southern Ocean driven by warming, stratospheric ozone depletion, and a positive Southern Annular Mode. Alterations in the physical environment are driving change through all levels of Antarctic marine food webs, which differ regionally. The distributions of key species, such as Antarctic krill, are also changing. Differential responses among predators reflect differences in species ecology. The impacts of climate change on Antarctic biodiversity will likely vary for different communities and depend on species range. Coastal communities and those of sub-Antarctic islands, especially range-restricted endemic communities, will likely suffer the greatest negative consequences of climate change. Simultaneously, ecosystem services in the Southern Ocean will likely increase. Such decoupling of ecosystem services and endemic species will require consideration in the management of human activities such as fishing in Antarctic marine ecosystems.

Diatoms have evolved a multitude of morphologics, including highly elongated cells and cell chains. Elongation and chain formation have many possible functions, such as grazing protecticn or effects on sinking. Here, a model of diffusive and advective nutrient transport is used to predict impacts of cell shape and chain length on potential nutrient supply and uptake in a turbulent environment. Rigid, contiguous, prolate spheroids thereby represent the shapes of simple chains and solitary cells. At scales larger than a few centimeters, turbulent water motions produce a more or less homogeneous nutrient distribution. At the much smaller stall: of diatom cells, however, turbulence drcates a roughly linear shear and nutrients can locally become strongly dl=pleted because of nutrient uptake by phytoplankton cells. The potential diffusive nutrient supply is greater for elongated than for spherically shaped cells of similar volume but lower for chains than for solitary cells. Although the relative increase in nutrient transport due to turbulence is greater for chains, single cells still enjoy a greater total nutrient supply in turbulent cnvironmerits. Only chains with specialized structures, such as spaces between the cells, can overcome this disadvantage and even obtain a higher nutrient supply than do solitary cells. The mod=1 results are compared to laboratory measurements of nutrient uptake under turbulent conditions and to effects ol' sinking.