Background
Traumatic brain injuries (TBI) are associated with high risk of morbidity and mortality. Early outcome prediction in patients with TBI require reliable data input and stable prognostic models. The aim of this investigation was to analyze different CT classification systems and prognostic calculators in a representative population of TBI-patients, with known outcomes, in a neurointensive care unit (NICU), to identify the most suitable CT scoring system for continued research.
Materials and methods
We retrospectively included 158 consecutive patients with TBI admitted to the NICU at a level 1 trauma center in Sweden from 2012 to 2016. Baseline data on admission was recorded, CT scans were reviewed, and patient outcome one year after trauma was assessed according to Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS). The Marshall classification, Rotterdam scoring system, Helsinki CT score and Stockholm CT score were tested, in addition to the IMPACT and CRASH prognostic calculators. The results were then compared with the actual outcomes.
Results
Glasgow Coma Scale score on admission was 3–8 in 38%, 9–13 in 27.2%, and 14–15 in 34.8% of the patients. GOS after one year showed good recovery in 15.8%, moderate disability in 27.2%, severe disability in 24.7%, vegetative state in 1.3% and death in 29.7%. When adding the variables from the IMPACT base model to the CT scoring systems, the Stockholm CT score yielded the strongest relationship to actual outcome. The results from the prognostic calculators IMPACT and CRASH were divided into two subgroups of mortality (percentages); ≤50% (favorable outcome) and > 50% (unfavorable outcome). This yielded favorable IMPACT and CRASH scores in 54.4 and 38.0% respectively.
Conclusion
The Stockholm CT score and the Helsinki score yielded the closest relationship between the models and the actual outcomes in this consecutive patient series, representative of a NICU TBI-population. Furthermore, the Stockholm CT score yielded the strongest overall relationship when adding variables from the IMPACT base model and would be our method of choice for continued research when using any of the current available CT score models.
Previous research has demonstrated the antitumoral effects of melatonin on breast cancer in both in vitro and in vivo studies. The aim of the present study was to investigate whether melatonin has a favorable effect on the survival of patients diagnosed with early breast cancer. This retrospective registry-based study included all patients diagnosed with breast cancer in Sweden between 2005 and 2015. Data were linked to the Swedish Prescribed Drug Registry and the Swedish Cause of Death Registry. A multivariate Cox regression model, including patient age, tumor size, tumor grade, ER status, HER2 status, nodal status and defined daily doses (DDDs) of melatonin, was used to analyze breast-cancer-specific survival as well as overall survival. Of the 37,075 included patients, 926 (2.5%) were prescribed melatonin, with a median DDD of 30. Melatonin was found to have a protective effect on breast-cancer-specific survival (BCSS) in the univariate analysis (HR: 0.736, 95% CI: 0.548–0.989, p = 0.042), but when adjusting for known prognostic factors in the multivariate analysis, this beneficial effect disappeared (HR: 1.037, 95% CI: 0.648–1.659, p = 0.879). Melatonin was not proven to have a favorable effect on the survival of patients diagnosed with early breast cancer in this retrospective registry study.
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