Aims Patients with cardiac disease are considered high risk for poor outcomes following hospitalization with COVID-19. The primary aim of this study was to evaluate heterogeneity in associations between various heart disease subtypes and in-hospital mortality. Methods and results We used data from the CAPACITY-COVID registry and LEOSS study. Multivariable Poisson regression models were fitted to assess the association between different types of pre-existing heart disease and in-hospital mortality. A total of 16 511 patients with COVID-19 were included (21.1% aged 66–75 years; 40.2% female) and 31.5% had a history of heart disease. Patients with heart disease were older, predominantly male, and often had other comorbid conditions when compared with those without. Mortality was higher in patients with cardiac disease (29.7%; n = 1545 vs. 15.9%; n = 1797). However, following multivariable adjustment, this difference was not significant [adjusted risk ratio (aRR) 1.08, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02–1.15; P = 0.12 (corrected for multiple testing)]. Associations with in-hospital mortality by heart disease subtypes differed considerably, with the strongest association for heart failure (aRR 1.19, 95% CI 1.10–1.30; P < 0.018) particularly for severe (New York Heart Association class III/IV) heart failure (aRR 1.41, 95% CI 1.20–1.64; P < 0.018). None of the other heart disease subtypes, including ischaemic heart disease, remained significant after multivariable adjustment. Serious cardiac complications were diagnosed in <1% of patients. Conclusion Considerable heterogeneity exists in the strength of association between heart disease subtypes and in-hospital mortality. Of all patients with heart disease, those with heart failure are at greatest risk of death when hospitalized with COVID-19. Serious cardiac complications are rare during hospitalization.
Aims Patients with cardiac disease are considered high risk for poor outcomes following hospitalization with COVID-19. The primary aim of this study was to evaluate heterogeneity in associations between various heart disease subtypes and in-hospital mortality. Method and results We used data from the CAPACITY-COVID registry and LEOSS study. Multivariable modified Poisson regression models were fitted to assess the association between different types of pre-existent heart disease and in-hospital mortality. 10,481 patients with COVID-19 were included (22.4% aged 66-75 years; 38.7% female) of which 30.5% had a history of cardiac disease. Patients with heart disease were older, predominantly male and more likely to have other comorbid conditions when compared to those without. COVID-19 symptoms at presentation did not differ between these groups. Mortality was higher in patients with cardiac disease (30.3%; n=968 versus 15.7%; n=1143). However, following multivariable adjustment this difference was not significant (adjusted risk ratio (aRR) 1.06 [95% CI 0.98-1.15, p-value 0.13]). Associations with in-hospital mortality by heart disease subtypes differed considerably, with the strongest association for NYHA III/IV heart failure (aRR 1.43 [95% CI 1.22-1.68, p-value <0.001]) and atrial fibrillation (aRR 1.14 [95% CI 1.04-1.24, p-value 0.01]). None of the other heart disease subtypes, including ischemic heart disease, remained significant after multivariable adjustment. Conclusion There is considerable heterogeneity in the strength of association between heart disease subtypes and in-hospital mortality. Of all patients with heart disease, those with severe heart failure are at greatest risk of death when hospitalized with COVID-19.
Background The best available imaging technique for the detection of prior myocardial infarction (MI) is cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) with late gadolinium enhancement (LGE). Although the electrocardiogram (ECG) still plays a major role in the diagnosis of prior MI, the diagnostic value of the ECG remains uncertain. This study evaluates the diagnostic value of the ECG in the assessment of prior MI. Methods In this retrospective study, data from electronic patient files were collected of 1033 patients who had undergone CMR with LGE between January 2014 and December 2017. After the exclusion of 59 patients, the data of 974 patients were analysed. Twelve-lead ECGs were blinded and evaluated for signs of prior MI by two cardiologists separately. Disagreement in interpretation was resolved by the judgement of a third cardiologist. Outcomes of CMR with LGE were used as the gold standard. Results The sensitivity of the ECG in the detection of MI was 38.0% with a 95% confidence interval (CI) of 31.6–44.8%. The specificity was 86.9% (95% CI 84.4–89.1%). The positive and negative predictive value were 43.6% (95% CI 36.4–50.9%) and 84.0% (95% CI 81.4–86.5%) respectively. In 170 ECGs (17.5%), the two cardiologists disagreed on the presence or absence of MI. Inter-rater variability was moderate (κ 0.51, 95% CI 0.45–0.58, p < 0.001). Conclusion The ECG has a low diagnostic value in the detection of prior MI. However, if the ECG shows no signs of prior MI, the absence of MI is likely. This study confirms that a history of MI should not be based solely on an ECG.
Background and Aims Low-dose colchicine reduces cardiovascular risk in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD), but absolute benefits may vary between individuals. This study aimed to assess the range of absolute benefit from low-dose colchicine according to individual patient risk profile. Methods The ESC guideline-recommended SMART-REACH model was combined with the relative treatment effect of low-dose colchicine, and applied to CAD patients from the LoDoCo2 trial and UCC-SMART cohort (n = 10,830). Individual treatment benefit was expressed as 10-year absolute risk reductions (ARRs) for myocardial infarction, stroke, or cardiovascular death (MACE), and MACE-free life-years gained. Predictions were also performed for MACE plus coronary revascularization (MACE+), using a new lifetime model derived in the REACH registry. Colchicine was compared to other ESC guideline-recommended intensified (step 2) prevention strategies, i.e. low density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-c) reduction to 1.4 mmol/L, and systolic blood pressure (SBP) reduction to 130 mmHg. Generalizability to other populations was assessed in CAD patients from REACH North America and Western Europe (n = 25,812). Results Median 10-year ARR from low-dose colchicine was 4.6% (interquartile range [IQR] 3.6–6.0%) for MACE, and 8.6% (IQR 7.6–9.8%) for MACE + . Lifetime benefit was 2.0 (IQR 1.6–2.5) MACE-free years, and 3.4 (IQR 2.6–4.2) MACE + -free life-years gained. For LDL-c and SBP reduction respectively, median 10-year ARR for MACE was 3.0% (IQR 1.5-5.1%) and 1.7% (IQR 0.0-5.7%), and lifetime benefit was 1.2 (IQR 0.6-2.1) and 0.7 (IQR 0.0-2.3) MACE-free life-years gained. Similar results were obtained for MACE+, and in American and European patients from REACH. Conclusions The absolute benefits of low-dose colchicine vary between individual patients with chronic CAD. They may be expected to be of at least similar magnitude to those of intensified LDL-c and SBP reduction in a majority of patients already on conventional lipid-lowering and blood pressure-lowering therapy.
Introduction Pharmacological restoration of sinus rhythm (SR) in patients with symptomatic atrial fibrillation (AF) is expected to be accompanied by prompt alleviation of symptoms to avoid the need for electrical cardioversion (ECV) and/or hospitalization. The feasibility and safety of acute cardioversion of recent-onset (≤48 hours) symptomatic AF to SR with flecainide acetate oral inhalation (FlecIH) solution was shown in the Phase 2, open-label INSTANT trial. We examined symptoms, heart rate, time to discharge and need for ECV reported among patients in the INSTANT trial whose AF was successfully converted to SR (“conversion group”; N=25) versus those whose AF did not convert to SR (“no conversion group”; N=29). Methods Conversion success was determined using 12-lead Holter monitoring during a 90-minute observation period. Patients in the no conversion group were offered alternative treatment per the investigator discretion. Symptoms, vital signs, time to discharge, and the need for ECV were evaluated through Day 5. Results Data from 54 patients (33.3% female) with a mean age of 62.1 years and a mean BMI of 26.8 kg/m2 were analyzed. All patients reported at least one AF-related symptoms at baseline (palpitations=85%; dizziness=35%; shortness of breath=37%; chest discomfort=39%) and 83.3% presented with AF symptoms ≤24 hours in duration. At 90 minutes, 80.0% of the conversion group were asymptomatic compared to 37.9% of the no conversion group (p<0.001). Mean (SD) ventricular rate at 90 minutes was 70.6 (12.5) bpm in the conversion group compared to 100.4 (29.4) bpm in the no conversion group (p<0.001). Median time to discharge was 2.3 (IQR: 0.75) hours for the conversion group compared to 3.6 (IQR: 1.02) hours for the no conversion group (p=0.001). By Day 5, 23 (79.3%) patients in the no conversion group had undergone ECV; no patients in the conversion group experienced AF recurrence by Day 5 (0% required ECV; p<0.001). Conclusions Conversion of recent onset AF to SR with inhaled flecainide was associated with a reduction in symptoms, normalization of heart rate, rapid hospital discharge and avoidance of ECV during a 5-day follow-up period. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: Private company. Main funding source(s): InCarda Therapeutics
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