OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to investigate the impact of harm-reduction-based methadone programs on mortality among heroin users. METHODS: A prospective cohort investigation was conducted among 827 participants in the Amsterdam Cohort Study. Poisson regression was used to identify methadone maintenance treatment characteristics (dosage, frequency of program attendance, and type of program) that are significantly and independently associated with mortality due to natural causes and overdose. RESULTS: From 1985 to 1996, 89 participants died of natural causes, and 31 died as a result of an overdose. After adjustment for HIV and underweight status, there was an increase in natural-cause mortality among subjects who left methadone treatment (relative risk [RR] = 2.38, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.28, 4.55). Leaving treatment was also related to higher overdose mortality, but only among injection drug users (RR = 4.55, 95% CI = 1.89, 10.00). CONCLUSIONS: Harm-reduction-based methadone treatment, in which the use of illicit drugs is tolerated, is strongly related to decreased mortality from natural causes and from overdoses. Provision of methadone in itself, together with social-medical care, appears more important than the actual methadone dosage.

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Weight loss is a common characteristic of advanced stages of HIV infection. Weight changes during the asymptomatic stage of HIV infection have not been well documented and the possible predictive value of early weight loss for progression to AIDS is unknown. In 122 HIV seroconverters, the natural course of body mass index (BMI) following seroconversion was studied. No BMI decline was seen immediately following seroconversion. In the 56 AIDS cases, however, a steep BMI decline of 1.14 kg/m2 occurred 6 months before AIDS. This BMI decline was more pronounced in those with low CD4+ T cell counts (<100 x 10(6)/L) at the time of AIDS diagnosis (1.8 kg/m2). The relative hazard for progression to AIDS of a BMI decline of 1.14 kg/m2 per 6 months was 3.1, which remained similar after adjustment for CD4 count and p24 antigenemia. We conclude that the course of BMI in HIV-1 infection is biphasic: a relatively stable period is followed by a rapid decline in the 6 months preceding onset of AIDS. Furthermore, we found that this steep BMI decline was associated with faster progression to AIDS.