No abstract

No abstract

No abstract

No abstract

Seismic hazard forecasts submitted in real time mode to the Kamchatkan Branch of the Russian Expert Council (KB REC) on Earthquake Prediction, Seismic Hazard, and Risk Assessment are described. In the first long term forecasts (September 7 and November 9, 2009), based on the GLOBAS_place tech nique (GLOBal Activation of Seismicity), we forecasted the occurrence of earthquakes with M ≥ 6.6 in the region of 35° N-40° N (Japan) and in three other regions of the world. In the forecasts submitted on Febru ary 25, and March 2 and 3, 2011, we indicated the possibility of more than one earthquake with M w ≥ 8 occur ring starting from noon, March 3. Forecasts were based on the GLOBAS techniques and recording of remote precursors using instrumental methods. Precursors were recorded before the Tohoku earthquake with a pre ceding time of up to 28 days based on the dynamics of molecular hydrogen (Kamchatka) and less than 8 days based on the bulk deformations in the area of town of Aleksandrov (Moscow Syneclise, East European Cra ton). A complex analysis of the data, performed within the framework of the techniques used, confirms the possibility of forecasting the time of occurrence, magnitude, and place of strong earthquakes with M ≥ 8.