Few data exist on the prevalence of autism in low-income countries. We translated, adapted and tested the acceptability of a Nepali-language version of a screening tool for autism (Autism Quotient-10). Using this tool, we estimated autism prevalence in 4098 rural Nepali children aged 9–13 years. Fourteen children scored > 6 out of 10, indicative of elevated autistic symptomatology, of which 13 also screened positive for disability. If the AQ-10 screening tool is as sensitive and specific in the Nepali population as it is in the UK, this would yield an estimated true prevalence of 3 in 1000 (95% confidence interval 2–5 in 1000). Future research is required to validate this tool through in-depth assessments of high-scoring children.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (10.1007/s10803-018-3610-1) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
AimThere has been a renewed focus globally on neonatal mortality as the deadline for the Millennium Development Goals approaches.1 Little is known about the neurodevelopmental consequences for survivors of complications in pregnancy, labour and the neonatal period in in low income countries outside of small, selective and typically urban facility studies.2 We ask which antenatal, birth and neonatal factors are associated with disability at age eleven in a large community recruited birth cohort from rural Nepal.MethodsThis cohort of 6,285 live births was recruited during a cluster randomised control trial of participatory women’s group on neonatal mortality.3,4 At age eleven 4,219 children were available for detailed follow up assessment including disability screening, with a retention rate in survivors of 72% (Figure 1). Disability was assessed by face to face interview using the newly developed UN/UNICEF Module on Child Functioning and Disability.5
Abstract G268 Figure 1Flowchart of rectuitsTo minimise the risk of posthoc testing first a list of hypothesised risk factors for adverse outcome was drawn up which was then consummated with the available data (Table 1). Factors with a univariate significance of <0.1 then underwent multivariable logistic regression modelling with disability as the outcome, adjusting for trial allocation and socioeconomic status.Abstract G268 Table 1Variable selectionsResultsOverall prevalence of disability was 7.4%. Maternal underweight (Odds Ratio (OR) 1.44 (95% confidence interval 1.01–2.08)), maternal cohabitation under 16 years of age (OR 1.50 (1.13–2.00)), increased weight at 1 month (per standard deviation OR 0.82 (0.71–0.95)) and reported diarrhoea and vomiting within the first 4 weeks of life (OR 2.48 (1.58–3.89)) were significantly associated with disability. The majority of hypothesised risk factors, including prematurity, were not significant on multivariable analysis (Table 2).Abstract G268 Table 2Final logistic regression model for disabilityConclusionsThe relationship between poverty, maternal malnutrition and poor neurodevelopmental outcome is well recognised6 and our findings here emphasise the importance of breaking this cycle. The lack of association of most recognised risk factors for adverse outcome in high income settings may be due to high mortality and survival bias. As the neonatal mortality rate falls in countries like Nepal future research will need to revisit the relationship between birth environment and disability.
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