Background COVID-19 pandemic has rapidly required a high demand of hospitalization and an increased number of intensive care units (ICUs) admission. Therefore, it became mandatory to develop prognostic models to evaluate critical COVID-19 patients. Materials and methods We retrospectively evaluate a cohort of consecutive COVID-19 critically ill patients admitted to ICU with a confirmed diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia. A multivariable Cox regression model including demographic, clinical and laboratory findings was developed to assess the predictive value of these variables. Internal validation was performed using the bootstrap resampling technique. The model’s discriminatory ability was assessed with Harrell’s C-statistic and the goodness-of-fit was evaluated with calibration plot. Results 242 patients were included [median age, 64 years (56–71 IQR), 196 (81%) males]. Hypertension was the most common comorbidity (46.7%), followed by diabetes (15.3%) and heart disease (14.5%). Eighty-five patients (35.1%) died within 28 days after ICU admission and the median time from ICU admission to death was 11 days (IQR 6–18). In multivariable model after internal validation, age, obesity, procaltitonin, SOFA score and PaO2/FiO2 resulted as independent predictors of 28-day mortality. The C-statistic of the model showed a very good discriminatory capacity (0.82). Conclusions We present the results of a multivariable prediction model for mortality of critically ill COVID-19 patients admitted to ICU. After adjustment for other factors, age, obesity, procalcitonin, SOFA and PaO2/FiO2 were independently associated with 28-day mortality in critically ill COVID-19 patients. The calibration plot revealed good agreements between the observed and expected probability of death.
A 48-year-old man with a long-standing history of communicating hydrocephalus is reported. Ventriculoperitoneal shunting led to clinical improvement, but symptoms recurred despite surgical re-exploration switching the shunt to an atrial drainage. Ten months after the last surgical procedure, an acute myelopathy developed. Concomitant pharyngeal granuloma examination identified Histoplasma capsulatum (Hc) yeasts. Despite initial response to amphotericin B, Hc was isolated from cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), valve reservoir and distal catheter after two courses of therapy. Fluconazole successfully sterilized CSF, but transverse myelopathy persisted unchanged, and shunting was needed to control hydrocephalus.
The aim of this study was to retrospectively investigate factors predicting a successful outcome after ozone chemonucleolysis (OCN) in patients with radicular pain and poor response to conservative treatments. Methods: Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to identify the predictors of good outcome after OCN. Good outcome was defined as 33% Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) reduction (model 1) or 13-point ODI improvement (model 2) at 1 month after OCN. Results: Two hundred seventy-three patients were analyzed. A significant pain reduction (pre-operative Numerical Rating Scale [NRS] 6.7 AE 1.5, postoperative NRS 2.6 AE 2.2, P < 0.0001) and ODI improvement (pre-operative ODI 39 AE 13.7, postoperative ODI 21.4 AE 13.8, P < 0.0001) was obtained 1 month after OCN. Pain duration (< 1 year), type of disk herniation based on Michigan State University classification (MSU), stages of disk degeneration revealed by discogram and absence of foraminal stenosis (bony or ligament flavum hypertrophy) appeared as predictors of successful outcome. Age, gender, previous spine surgery, level site of disk herniation, presence of uncontained lumbar disk herniation, and vertebral Modic changes were not statistically associated with the outcome. Both the models showed a good accuracy (model 1, area under the curve [AUC] = 0.84 AE 0.027, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.79 to 0.89; model 2, AUC = 0.86 AE 0.024, 95% CI = 0.81 to 0.91). Conclusions: OCN is an effective treatment for radicular pain due to disk herniation. Pain duration (< 1 year), MSU disk herniation type (1A, 1B, 1C, 2A, and 2B), disk degeneration grade 2, and absence of foraminal stenosis are all associated with the successful outcome and should be carefully evaluated before OCN. &
Three patients with unusual presentations of basilar artery ectasia are described: subarachnoid hemorrhage was manifest in one and autonomic dysfunction developed in the other two. Aneurysmal rupture was the cause in the first patient, while compression of the brainstem and/or of the baroreceptor afferences of the IXth and Xth cranial nerves is postulated to be responsible for the symptoms found in the other two. Basilar artery aneurysms should be considered in cases with subarachnoid hemorrhage or autonomic dysfunction, particularly when diagnostic procedures fail to disclose other possible etiologies.
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