Bayesian inversion is at the heart of probabilistic programming and more generally machine learning. Understanding inversion is made difficult by the pointful (kernel-centric) point of view usually taken in the literature. We develop a pointless (kernel-free) approach to inversion. While doing so, we revisit some foundational objects of probability theory, unravel their category-theoretical underpinnings and show how pointless Bayesian inversion sits naturally at the centre of this construction. P (d) · P (h | d) = P (d | h) · P (h)(1)
Bisimulation is a concept that captures behavioural equivalence. It has been studied extensively on nonprobabilistic systems and on discrete-time Markov processes and on so-called continuous-time Markov chains. In the latter time is continuous but the evolution still proceeds in jumps. We propose two definitions of bisimulation on continuoustime stochastic processes where the evolution is a flow through time. We show that they are equivalent and we show that when restricted to discrete-time, our concept of bisimulation encompasses the standard discrete-time concept. The concept we introduce is not a straightforward generalization of discrete-time concepts.
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