Nosocomial infection of the lower respiratory tract is a frequent and serious complication after major operations. A 32% incidence of lower respiratory tract infections was found after brain-tumor surgery in 289 patients, with a 21% incidence of pneumonia. In 186 of these patients (Group A), five factors were identified which were associated with an increased risk of postoperative lower respiratory tract infection. These were: age, tumor type, cardiac insufficiency, preoperative disturbances of consciousness, and preoperative corticosteroid treatment. Based on these factors, a risk score was developed which correlated well with the incidence of infection in this group of patients. In a second group of patients (Group B), the derived risk score was applied and was found to possess a high degree of validity. As long as patients were intubated postoperatively, their freedom from infection decreased exponentially, with a half-life of 3.5 days.

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