Abstract. The specification of state background error statistics is a key component of data assimilation since it affects the impact observations will have on the analysis. In the variational data assimilation approach, applied in geophysical sciences, the dimensions of the background error covariance matrix (B) are usually too large to be explicitly determined and B needs to be modeled. Recent efforts to include new variables in the analysis such as cloud parameters and chemical species have required the development of the code to GENerate the Background Errors (GEN_BE) version 2.0 for the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) community model. GEN_BE allows for a simpler, flexible, robust, and community-oriented framework that gathers methods used by some meteorological operational centers and researchers. We present the advantages of this new design for the data assimilation community by performing benchmarks of different modeling of B and showing some of the new features in data assimilation test cases. As data assimilation for clouds remains a challenge, we present a multivariate approach that includes hydrometeors in the control variables and new correlated errors. In addition, the GEN_BE v2.0 code is employed to diagnose error parameter statistics for chemical species, which shows that it is a tool flexible enough to implement new control variables. While the generation of the background errors statistics code was first developed for atmospheric research, the new version (GEN_BE v2.0) can be easily applied to other domains of science and chosen to diagnose and model B. Initially developed for variational data assimilation, the model of the B matrix may be useful for variational ensemble hybrid methods as well.
Abstract. Clouds play a key role in radiation and hence O 3 photochemistry by modulating photolysis rates and lightdependent emissions of biogenic volatile organic compounds (BVOCs). It is not well known, however, how much error in O 3 predictions can be directly attributed to error in cloud predictions. This study applies the Weather Research and Forecasting with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) model at 12 km horizontal resolution with the Morrison microphysics and Grell 3-D cumulus parameterization to quantify uncertainties in summertime surface O 3 predictions associated with cloudiness over the contiguous United States (CONUS). All model simulations are driven by reanalysis of atmospheric data and reinitialized every 2 days. In sensitivity simulations, cloud fields used for photochemistry are corrected based on satellite cloud retrievals. The results show that WRF-Chem predicts about 55 % of clouds in the right locations and generally underpredicts cloud optical depths. These errors in cloud predictions can lead to up to 60 ppb of overestimation in hourly surface O 3 concentrations on some days. The average difference in summertime surface O 3 concentrations derived from the modeled clouds and satellite clouds ranges from 1 to 5 ppb for maximum daily 8 h average O 3 (MDA8 O 3 ) over the CONUS. This represents up to ∼ 40 % of the total MDA8 O 3 bias under cloudy conditions in the tested model version. Surface O 3 concentrations are sensitive to cloud errors mainly through the calculation of photolysis rates (for ∼ 80 %), and to a lesser extent to light-dependent BVOC emissions. The sensitivity of surface O 3 concentrations to satellite-based cloud corrections is about 2 times larger in VOC-limited than NO x -limited regimes. Our results suggest that the benefits of accurate predictions of cloudiness would be significant in VOC-limited regions, which are typical of urban areas.
Abstract. Clouds play a key role in radiation and hence O 3 photochemistry by modulating photolysis 12 rates and light-dependent emissions of biogenic volatile organic compounds (BVOCs). It is not well 13 known, however, how much error in O 3 predictions can be directly attributed to that in cloud predictions.
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