Abstract. Starting with a model conical Kähler metric, we prove a uniform scalar curvature bound for solutions to the conical Kähler-Ricci flow assuming a semi-ampleness type condition on the twisted canonical bundle. In the proof, we also establish uniform estimates for the potentials and their time derivatives.

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We use the momentum construction of Calabi to study the conical Kähler-Ricci flow on Hirzebruch surfaces with cone angle along the exceptional curve, and show that either the flow Gromov-Hausdorff converges to the Riemann sphere or a single point in finite time, or the flow contracts the cone divisor to a single point and Gromov-Hausdorff converges to a two dimensional projective orbifold. This gives the first example of the conical Kähler-Ricci flow contracting the cone divisor to a single point. At the end, we introduce a conjectural picture of the geometry of finite time non-collapsing singularities of the flow on Kähler surfaces in general.

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We prove an interior Schauder estimate for the Laplacian on metric products of two dimensional cones with a Euclidean factor, generalizing the work of Donaldson and reproving the Schauder estimate of Guo-Song. We characterize the space of homogeneous subquadratic harmonic functions on products of cones, and identify scales at which geodesic balls can be well approximated by balls centered at the apex of an appropriate model cone. We then locally approximate solutions by subquadratic harmonic functions at these scales to measure the Hölder continuity of second derivatives.