Inland lake variations are considered sensitive indicators of global climate change. However, human activity is playing as a more and more important role in inland lake area variations. Therefore, it is critical to identify whether anthropogenic activity or natural events is the dominant factor in inland lake surface area change. In this study, we proposed a method that combines the Douglas-Peucker simplification algorithm and the bend simplification algorithm to locate major lake surface area disturbances. These disturbances were used to extract the features that been used to classify disturbances into anthropogenic or natural. We took the nine lakes in Yunnan Province as test sites, a 31-year long (from 1987 to 2017) time series Landsat TM/OLI images and HJ-1A/1B used as data sources, the official records were used as references to aid the feature extraction and disturbance identification accuracy assessment. Results of our method for disturbance location and disturbance identification could be concluded as follows: (1) The method can accurately locate the main lake changing events based on the time series lake surface area curve. The accuracy of this model for segmenting the time series of lake surface area in our study area was 94.73%. (2) Our proposed method achieved an overall accuracy of 87.75%, with an F-score of 85.71 for anthropogenic disturbances and an F-score of 88.89 for natural disturbances. (3) According to our results, lakes in Yunnan Province of China have undergone intensive disturbances. Human-induced disturbances occurred almost twice as much as natural disturbances, indicating intensified disturbances caused by human activities. This inland lake area disturbance identification method is expected to uncover whether a disturbance to inland lake area is human activity-induced or a natural event, and to monitor whether disturbances of lake surface area are intensified for a region.
Fluctuations in reservoir water levels exert a strong triggering effect on landslides along reservoir banks, constituting a long-term concern in the safe operation of hydroelectric projects and in the prevention and management of geological disasters. While existing research has investigated the impact of periodic water level changes on the deformation of reservoir bank landslides, observation and detection of such deformation are challenging, with noticeable gaps in understanding how these deformations respond to water level changes during the water impoundment period. To address this, our study targets the Baihetan Reservoir, leveraging 567 ascending and descending LiCSAR data and LiCSBAS (the small-baseline subset within LiCSAR) technology to construct a time series of ground deformations in the study area from 2019 to 2023. The TLCC (Time Lag Cross Correlation) model was employed to examine the time-lag response pattern of reservoir bank landslide deformations to reservoir water level changes during the impoundment period. Our findings indicate a clear time-lag response in reservoir bank landslide deformations to water level changes during the impoundment process. The rise in water levels emerged as a primary factor influencing the instability of reservoir bank landslides. During the half-year impoundment period of the Baihetan Reservoir, a time lag of 5–7 days was observed between landslide deformations and increases in water levels, with landslides on the eastern and western banks exhibiting differing time-lag response patterns. Our study illuminates the time-lag effect between water level changes during reservoir impoundment and reservoir bank landslide deformation monitoring. By proposing a quantitative analysis methodology utilizing LiCSBAS technology and the TLCC model, our findings can inform decision-making in the field of disaster prevention and reduction in reservoir engineering.
Inland lake variations are considered sensitive indicators of global climate change. However, human activity is playing as a more and more important role in inland lake area variations. Therefore, it is critical to identify whether anthropogenic activity or natural event is playing as the dominant factor in inland lake surface area change. In this study, we proposed a Douglas-Peucker simplification algorithm and bend simplification algorithm combined method to locate major lake surface area disturbances; these disturbances were then characterized to extract the time series change features according to documented records; and the disturbances were finally classified into anthropogenic or natural. We took the nine lakes in Yunnan Province as test sites, a 31 years long (from 1987 to 2017) time series Landsat TM/OLI images and HJ-1A/1B used as data sources, the official records was used as references to aid the feature extraction and disturbance identification accuracy. Results of our method for both disturbance location and the disturbance identification could be concluded as follows: 1) The method can accurately locate the main lake changing events based on the time series lake surface area curve. The accuracy of this model for segmenting the lake area time series curves in our study area was 95.24%. 2) Our proposed method achieved an overall accuracy of 91.67%, with F-score of 94.67 for anthropogenic disturbances and F-score of 85.71 for natural disturbances. 3) According to our results, lakes in Yunnan Provence, China, have undergone extensive disturbances, and the human-induced disturbances occurred almost twice as often as natural disturbances, indicating intensified disturbances caused by human activities. This inland lake area disturbance identification method is expected to uncover whether a disturbance to inland lake area is human activity-induced or natural event.
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