Changes in temperature extremes can be linked to mean temperature changes and variability. This study aims to quantify observed trends in mean and extreme temperature values and to analyse the relationship between mean and extreme temperatures in mainland China, based on daily data from 1960 to 2015. This is the first analysis undertaken of the relationship between mean and extreme temperatures in mainland China. Based on the 95th and 99th percentiles of daily T max and the 5th and 1st percentiles of daily T min , warm days (TX95p), hot days (TX99p), cold nights (TN05p), and very cold nights (TN01p) were defined. The results showed the following: (1) large increasing tendencies of TX95p and TX99p nearly all occurred in locations where mean temperature had substantially increased, and large decreasing tendencies of TN05p were more probably at locations of warming in mainland China; (2) the rise of mean temperature significantly increased the frequency of TX95p and TX99p, and decreased the frequency of TN05p, which indicates a simple shift of the entire distribution towards a warmer climate and greater potential risk of heat waves in the future. The likelihood of occurrence of TX95p and TX99p increased by about 3 and 1 day, respectively, and the occurrence of TN05p was reduced by about 4 days with a mean temperature increase of 1 ∘ C, but the occurrence of TN01p was hardly affected, indicating increased variability of T min temperatures; and (3) the mean and extreme temperatures increased with the urbanization rate in China, and advanced phenologies and unaffected frequency of very cold nights (TN01p) could pose more potential risk of frost and freeze injury to crops in China in the future.

Extreme temperature change is one of the most urgent challenges facing our society. In recent years, extreme temperature has exerted a considerable influence on society and the global ecosystem. The Yangtze River Basin is not only an important growth belt of China’s social and economic development, but also the main commodity grain base in China. The purpose of this study is to study the extreme temperature indices in the Yangtze River Basin. In this study, the Mann–Kendall nonparametric test and R/S analysis method are used to analyze the spatial and temporal variation characteristics of major extreme temperature indices in the Yangtze River Basin from 1970 to 2014. The main conclusions are drawn as follows: (1) The occurrence of cold days (TX10), cold nights (TN10), ice days (ID), and frost days (FD) decrease at a rate of −0.66–−2.5 d/10a, respectively, while the occurrence of warm days (TX90), warm nights (TN90), summer days (SU), and tropical nights (TR) show statistically significant increasing trends at a rate of 2.2–4.73 d/10a. (2) The trends of the coldest day (TXn), coldest night (TNn), warmest day (TXx), warmest night (TNx), and diurnal temperature range (DTR), range from −0.003 to 0.5 °C/10a. (3) Spatially, the main cold indices and warm indices increase and decrease the most in the upper and lower reaches of the Yangtze River Basin. (4) DTR and TN90 show no abrupt changes; the main cold indices changed abruptly in the 1980s and the main warm indices changed abruptly in the late 1990s and early 2000s. (5) The extreme temperature indices are affected by the atmospheric circulation and urban heat island effect in the Yangtze River Basin. Relative indices and absolute indices will continue to maintain the present trend in the future. In short, the main cold indices of extreme temperature indices show a decreasing trend, the main warm indices of extreme temperature indices show an increasing trend, and cold indices and warm indices will continue to maintain the present trend in the future in the Yangtze River Basin. Extreme temperature has an important impact on agriculture, social, and economic development. Therefore, extreme temperature prediction and monitoring must be strengthened to reduce losses caused by extreme temperature disasters and to promote the sustainable development in Yangtze River Basin.

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Active accumulated temperature is an important index of agricultural heat resources in a region. Based on the temperature data of the Yangtze River Basin from 1970 to 2014, this paper analyzed the characteristics of the temporal and spatial variations of the biological boundary temperature in the Yangtze River Basin. The main conclusions were drawn as follows: (1) since 1970, the accumulated temperature of ≥0 °C in the northern subtropical zone, mid-subtropical zone, and plateau climate zone showed overall increasing trends, and the trends were 122 (p < 0.001), 87.7 (p < 0.001), and 75.3 °C/10a (p < 0.001), respectively. The accumulated temperature of ≥5 °C showed an upward trend, and the change tendency rates were 122.6 (p < 0.001), 90.5 (p < 0.001), and 81.4 °C/10a (p < 0.001), respectively. The accumulated temperature of ≥10 °C showed overall increasing trends and the trends were 115.7 (p < 0.001), 92.5 (p < 0.001), and 78.9 °C/10a (p < 0.001). Accumulated temperatures of ≥0 °C, ≥5 °C, and ≥10 °C in the northern subtropical zone increased significantly higher than that in the mid-subtropical zone and plateau climate zone. (2) The accumulated temperatures of ≥0 °C, ≥5 °C, and ≥10 °C in the northern subtropical zone showed an abrupt change in 1997. In the mid-subtropical zone and plateau climate zone, there was an abrupt change in the accumulated temperatures of ≥0 °C and ≥5 °C in 1994, and in the northern subtropical zone, the abrupt change of the accumulated temperature ≥10 °C occurred in 1998. (3) There are obvious differences in the biological boundary temperature within the Yangtze River Basin, and the stations with large increases are mainly distributed in the middle and lower reaches, such as the Hanshui Basin, the Poyang Lake Basin, the Taihu Lake Basin, and the middle and lower reaches of the mainstream area. The initial day, final day, and continuous days showed a trend of advancement, postponement, and extension, respectively. Besides, the heat resources showed significant increasing trends, which is of guiding significance for the future production and development of agriculture in the region. With the increase of heat resources in the Yangtze River Basin, appropriate late-maturing varieties should be selected in variety breeding, to make full use of heat resources and improve the quality of agricultural products. Secondly, the planting system should be adjusted and the multiple cropping index improved to steadily increase agricultural output. This brings new opportunities to adjust the structure of the agricultural industry and increase farmers’ income, in the Yangtze River basin.