Qualitative analysis processes are currently used to design and allocate maintenance monies for linear infrastructure on permafrost. The routing and maintenance locations are generally selected using a qualitative process, with probabilities and consequences of each potential failure mode evaluated using a scalar rating system. A quantitative risk assessment utilizes calculated values of failure probability and consequence. In either analysis method, the values of probability and consequence are multiplied to determine a risk importance factor, which is used to rank and analyze each risk. While qualitative analysis methods have been used for many years, there is a push within the engineering community towards probability-based methodologies, quantifying the analysis process. This paper presents a review of probabilistic methods used to analyze geotechnical properties and calculation uncertainty, problems and failure modes of embankment-supported infrastructure on permafrost, and risk analysis methods. This review is an initial step in the development of a tool and methodology for quantitative risk assessment of linear infrastructure on permafrost; a brief discussion of the research plan is also included.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.