The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of inflation, Government spending, and exports on economic growth in Indonesia during 1990-2016. This study used time series data obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics. The number of samples in this study was 27 years as the object of this research. This study used a Vector Autoregression Model (VAR) analysis tool with the help of Eviews 9 software. The results of the VAR analysis model showed that economic growth was insignificantly and positively influenced by its movements, inflation had a positive and insignificant effect on economic growth, and Government spending had a positive and insignificant effect on economic growth, while exports had a negative and insignificant effect on economic growth.

Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui pengaruh Total Penduduk, Produk Domestik Regional Bruto Terhadap PAD Kabupaten Simeulue tahun 2007-2016, metode analisis data yang digunakan adalah regresi linear berganda. Hasil penelitian ini dapat disimpulkan bahwa secara parsial variabel total penduduk tidak berpengaruh terhadap PAD sedangkan Produk Domestik Regional Bruto berpengruh positif terhadap PAD di Kabupaten Simeulue untuk periode analisis 2007-2016. Nilai R2 (determinasi) adalah sebesar 0.770166, artinya variabel PAD mampu dijelaskan oleh variabel total penduduk dan variabel Produk Domestik Regional Bruto sebesar 77%.

This study aims to analyze the factors that influence Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves by proving cointegration (long-run relationships) and causality (reciprocal relationships). The data used is time series data during the period January 2014-December 2018. The analytical method used in this study is cointegration test and granger causality with the approach of auto regressive lag (ARDL). The cointegration test results using the Bound test test indicated that between the variables of foreign exchange reserves, exports, the exchange rate, the BI Rate and inflation had a stability relationship of movements in the long run. While the results of the causality test showed that there is a one-way relationship between foreign exchange reserves and exports, and so there was a unidirectional relationship between foreign exchange reserves and the exchange rate and the same relationship between the BI Rate and foreign exchange reserves. Keywords: foreign exchange reserves, exports, exchange rates, BI Rate, inflation.

No abstract

This study aims to know the effect of export, import and investment on economic growth in Indonesia. This study employis secondary data in the period 1967-2020 obrained from the World Bank. The data is analyzed by using Vector Error Correction Method (VECM). All tests used in this study are unit root test, lag length criterion test, cointegration test, Granger causality test and VAR stability test. The results showed that the export and import of Indonesia have a positive and insignificant effect on Indonesia economic growth both in short run and long run. Investment has a negative and insignificant effect on economic growth both in short run and long run in Indonesia.