Well-being is an important value for people’s lives, and it could be considered as an index of societal progress. Researchers have suggested two main approaches for the overall measurement of well-being, the objective and the subjective well-being. Both approaches, as well as their relevant dimensions, have been traditionally captured with surveys. During the last decades, new data sources have been suggested as an alternative or complement to traditional data. This paper aims to present the theoretical background of well-being, by distinguishing between objective and subjective approaches, their relevant dimensions, the new data sources used for their measurement and relevant studies. We also intend to shed light on still barely unexplored dimensions and data sources that could potentially contribute as a key for public policing and social development.
Due to the growing availability of Internet services in the last decade, the interactions between people became more and more easy to establish. For example, we can have an intercontinental job interview, or we can send real-time multimedia content to any friend of us just owning a smartphone. All this kind of human activities generates digital footprints, that describe a complex, rapidly evolving, network structures. In such dynamic scenario, one of the most challenging tasks involves the prediction of future interactions between couples of actors (i.e., users in online social networks, researchers in collaboration networks). In this paper, we approach such problem by leveraging networks dynamics: to this extent, we propose a supervised learning approach which exploits features computed by time-aware forecasts of topological measures calculated between node pairs. Moreover, since real social networks are generally composed by weakly connected modules, we instantiate the interaction prediction problem in two disjoint applicative scenarios: intracommunity and inter-community link prediction.Experimental results on real time-stamped networks show how our approach is able to reach high accuracy. Furthermore, we analyze the performances of our methodology when varying the typologies of features, community discovery algorithms and forecast methods.
Peace is a principal dimension of well-being and is the way out of inequity and violence. Thus, its measurement has drawn the attention of researchers, policymakers, and peacekeepers. During the last years, novel digital data streams have drastically changed the research in this field. The current study exploits information extracted from a new digital database called Global Data on Events, Location, and Tone (GDELT) to capture peace through the Global Peace Index (GPI). Applying predictive machine learning models, we demonstrate that news media attention from GDELT can be used as a proxy for measuring GPI at a monthly level. Additionally, we use explainable AI techniques to obtain the most important variables that drive the predictions. This analysis highlights each country’s profile and provides explanations for the predictions, and particularly for the errors and the events that drive these errors. We believe that digital data exploited by researchers, policymakers, and peacekeepers, with data science tools as powerful as machine learning, could contribute to maximizing the societal benefits and minimizing the risks to peace.
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