Anthropometric indices of obesity (e.g. body mass index, waist circumference and neck circumference) are associated with poor long-term cardiovascular outcome. Prior studies have associated neck circumference and central body adiposity. We explored the association between neck fat volume (NFV) and long-term cardiovascular outcome. The study provides a retrospective analysis of all patients undergoing computerized tomography angiography for suspected cerebrovascular accident between January and December 2013. NFV was assessed by three dimensional reconstructions and was adjusted to height to account for differences in body sizes, thus yielding the NFV/height ratio (NHR). Univariate and multivariate analysis were utilized to explore the association between various indices including NHR and all-cause mortality. The analysis included 302 patients. The average age was 61.9±14.3 years, 60.6% of male gender. Diabetes mellitus, hypertension and cardiovascular disease were frequent in 31.5%, 69.9%, and 72.2% of patients, respectively. The median NHR was 492.53cm 2 [IQR 393.93–607.82]. Median follow up time was 41.2 months, during which 40 patients (13.2%) died. Multivariate analysis adjusting for age, sex, and diabetes mellitus indicated an independent association between the upper quartile of NHR and all-cause mortality (hazard ratio = 2.279; 95% CI = 1.209–4.299; p = .011). NHR is a readily available anthropometric index which significantly correlated with poor long-term outcome. Following validation in larger scale studies, this index may serve a risk stratifying tool for cardiovascular disease and future outcome.
Objective: In the era of widespread resistance, there are 2 time points at which most empiric prescription errors occur among hospitalized adults: (1) upon admission (UA) when treating patients at risk of multidrug-resistant organisms (MDROs) and (2) during hospitalization, when treating patients at risk of extensively drug-resistant organisms (XDROs). These errors adversely influence patient outcomes and the hospital’s ecology. Design and setting: Retrospective cohort study, Shamir Medical Center, Israel, 2016. Patients: Adult patients (aged >18 years) hospitalized with sepsis. Methods: Logistic regressions were used to develop predictive models for (1) MDRO UA and (2) nosocomial XDRO. Their performances on the derivation data sets, and on 7 other validation data sets, were assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC). Results: In total, 4,114 patients were included: 2,472 patients with sepsis UA and 1,642 with nosocomial sepsis. The MDRO UA score included 10 parameters, and with a cutoff of ≥22 points, it had an ROC AUC of 0.85. The nosocomial XDRO score included 7 parameters, and with a cutoff of ≥36 points, it had an ROC AUC of 0.87. The range of ROC AUCs for the validation data sets was 0.7–0.88 for the MDRO UA score and was 0.66–0.75 for nosocomial XDRO score. We created a free web calculator (https://assafharofe.azurewebsites.net). Conclusions: A simple electronic calculator could aid with empiric prescription during an encounter with a septic patient. Future implementation studies are needed to evaluate its utility in improving patient outcomes and in reducing overall resistances.
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