Chemoprevention and risk-stratification studies in Barrett's esophagus (BE) rely on biomarkers but the variability in their temporal and spatial expression is unknown. If such variability exists, it will impact sampling techniques and sample size calculations. Specimens from three levels of biopsies over two serial endoscopies in nondysplastic BE patients were analyzed for aneuploidy, proliferation markers (Ki67, Mcm2), and cell cycle markers (cyclin A and cyclin D1). A modification of the image cytometry technique, where cytokeratin staining automatically distinguished epithelial and stromal cells, measured aneuploidy on whole tissue sections. Other biomarkers were studied by immunohistochemistry. Coefficient of variability (SD/mean) was calculated; a value <10% indicated low variability. A total of 120 specimens (20 subjects each with three biopsy levels at two time points) from nondysplastic BE patients (71 ± 8.8 years, all Caucasian, 90% males, C5.1M7.5 ± 3.4 cm) were analyzed. The mean interval between endoscopies was 32.8 ± 8.4 months. Aneuploidy had a spatial variability of 6.8% at visit 1 (mean diploid index: 1.1 ± 0.09) and 7.9% at visit 2 (mean diploid index: 1.1 ± 0.06) and a temporal variability of 7.0-8.1% for the three levels. For other biomarkers, the spatial variability ranged from ∼5 to 30% at visit 1 and 11-92% at visit 2 and the temporal variability ranged from 0 to 77%. To conclude, of all the biomarkers, only aneuploidy had both spatial and temporal variability of <10%. Spatial and temporal variability were biomarker dependent and could be as high as 90% even without progression. These data will be useful to design chemoprevention and risk-stratification studies in BE.

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