The main goal of this paper is to investigate the behaviour of stock returns in the case of stock markets from Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), focusing on the relationship between returns and conditional volatility. Since there is relatively little empirical research on the volatility of stock returns in underdeveloped stock markets, with even fewer studies on markets in the transitional economies of the CEE region, this paper is designed to shed some light on the econometric modelling of the conditional mean and volatility of stock returns from this region. The results presented in this paper provide confirmatory evidence that ARIMA and GARCH processes provide parsimonious approximations of mean and volatility dynamics in the case of the selected stock markets. There is overwhelming evidence corroborating the existence of a leverage effect, meaning that negative shocks increase volatility more than positive shocks do. Since financial decisions are generally based upon the trade-off between risk and return, the results presented in this paper will provide valuable information in decision making for those who are planning to invest in stock markets from the CEE region.
Employment has been identified at the top of the list of young people's concerns across Europe. Given the fact that in Bosnia and Herzegovina youth is one of the most vulnerable group, mainly due to the high unemployment rate, the main goal of this paper to determine the key individual and household characteristics of young people that influence their employment probability in order to support further development of decision-making policies in the labour market of Bosnia and Herzegovina. By using the USAID MEASURE-BiH National Youth Survey data set we analyse the effects of various individual and household characteristics on the probability of youth employment in Bosnia and Herzegovina. The analysis has revealed that education, age, gender and certain household characteristics have an impact on the probability of youth employment. The paper is expected to produce useful pieces of information that might be helpful for government decision-makers in Bosnia and Herzegovina in the process of creating employment policies to support young people.
Paper discusses financial inclusion of youth focussing on effects of remittances on financial inclusion of youth (usage of debit card, credit card, savings and borrowing instruments) in South East Europe. It is argued that remittances, as stable sources of income (capital), contribute to savings and lead to an improvement in financial inclusion of individuals who receive remittances. We test our hypothesis that remittances contribute to increase in savings and in the level of financial inclusion of youth in South East European countries. We estimate probit regression models with a set of dummy dependent variables for financial inclusion: having a debit card, having a credit card, borrowing and savings, and regress them on receipt of remittances controlling for age, gender, education and income level. Results show negative impact of remittances on youth financial inclusion in selected countries with respect to having debit card, credit card and borrowing. On the other hand, results show positive effect of remittances on savings among youth that receive remittances.
Purpose-The purpose of this paper is to determine the key factors that influence the probability of tourists' return intention to the Opatija Riviera. Methodology-A structured questionnaire with a 5 point Likert scale was used within this research. The authors used the descriptive statistics to determine the satisfaction with the destination attributes, and attitudes regarding the novelty of offer and possibility of future revisit. With the use of T-test a statistically significant difference was determined for the score for the accommodation capacities, natural resources and novelty. Correlation analysis was used to determine the association between accommodation, natural resources, cultural resources, novelty, and return intention. Logistic regression model was used to get a better understanding of the factors that may influence probability of tourists' return intention. Findings-Results indicate high level of satisfaction of tourists with the accommodation offer and natural resources, while the results for cultural tourist resources were not up to expectations. The results for novelty are moderate and consistent with the results expressed about possible return intention to Opatija Riviera in the future, which indicates the need for significant improvements within the offer. The results of a logistic regression model determined that the best predictors for repeat visit of tourists are primarily accommodation services, followed by natural resources and finally novelty. Contribution-Based on the findings acquired within this paper the authors proposed the guidelines for tourist offer improvement with a goal of increasing the satisfaction of tourists and stimulating them to revisit Opatija Riviera in the future.
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