Porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome (PRRS) gives rise to reproductive disorders in sows and problem with respiratory system in piglets and young pigs. This disease creates serious economic losses to major pork producing countries. The disease, which is characterized by high morbidity and significant mortality, combined with its potential for rapid spread, can devastate the pig industries of the affected countries. However, not much is known about the spatial transmission of PRRSV (porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus) in growing pigs. In previous models, the infection rate has been assumed to be constant with time. Experimental studies on specific cases of this viral infection suggest that this assumption might not hold. A structured model for the spread of PRRSV has therefore been constructed, incorporating time and spatial dimensions as well as the decline of infection rate with time. Using the traveling wave coordinate and the modified extended hyperbolic tangent method, we derive analytical solutions to the model system. Stability and phase plane analyses are also carried out in order to gain insights into the spatial spread of PRRS as time progresses.
So far, mobility in fish population has not been given sufficient attention, although movement and spatial heterogeneity can be an important dynamic feature that plays a critical role in their exploitation. Having a qualitative framework to describe and estimate movement and growth based on tagging data is necessary for efficient control and management of the fishing industry. Here, we construct an advection-diffusion-reaction model for the fish population structured to track the population densities of both the tagged fish and the tag-free fish, in which the impulsive tagging practice is incorporated, while continuous tagging is assumed to be done on off springs of trackable tagged fish, or on those in the same swarm as the trackable tagged fish. Using the traveling wave coordinate, we derive analytical expression for the solutions to the model system. We derive the explicit expression for the level of tagged fish which increases in a periodic impulsive fashion. Stability and phase plane analyses are also carried out to determine different behavior permitted by the model system.
Porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus (PRRSV) causes reproductive failure in sows and respiratory disease in piglets and growing pigs. The disease rapidly spreads in swine populations, making it a serious problem causing great financial losses to the swine industry. However, past mathematical models used to describe the spread of the disease have not yielded sufficient understanding of its spatial transmission. This work has been designed to investigate a mathematical model for the spread of PRRSV considering both time and spatial dimensions as well as the observed decline in infectiousness as time progresses. Moreover, our model incorporates into the dynamics the assumption that some members of the infected population may recover from the disease and become immune. Analytical solutions are derived by using the modified extended hyperbolic tangent method with the introduction of traveling wave coordinate. We also carry out a stability and phase analysis in order to obtain a clearer understanding of how PRRSV spreads spatially through time.
There have been numerous attempts to model the progression of Diabetes Mellitus, which is a disease suffered by those with eating disorders with prevalence in the aged population. Models in the past have not been very successful in discovering the future development of the symptoms in a long term prediction. This is due to the fact that the state variables under consideration change in drastically different time scales, and the models that do not take careful account of this are not able to provide sufficiently accurate forecast that can be of satisfactory assistance to physicians taking care of their patients. In this work, we use the singular perturbation method to analyse a model of insulin and glucose interaction, incorporating beta cell dynamics and the pancreatic reserve, proposed by De Gaetano et al. in 2008. Different dynamic behaviour will be identified and numerical simulations will be carried out in support of our theoretical predictions.
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