Weather affects the reliability of distribution networks. Extreme weather conditions can initiate outages, but already normal weather conditions affect the failure of the components in the system, such as cables and cable joints. This study analyses the historical weather and failure records of Alliander, a Dutch Distribution System Operator (DSO). The paper discusses the correlation between failure rates and different weather factors. It presents a predictive model using Basket Analysis. This predictive model is verified using a data set from recent component failures.

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