The global pandemic of COVID-19 poses a huge threat to the health and lives of people all over the world, and brings unprecedented pressure to the medical system. We need to establish a practical method to improve the efficiency of treatment and optimize the allocation of medical resources. Due to the influx of a large number of patients into the hospital and the running of medical resources, blood routine test became the only possible check while COVID-19 patients first go to a fever clinic in a community hospital. This study aims to establish an efficient method to identify key indicators from initial blood routine test results for COVID-19 severity prediction. We determined that age is a key indicator for severity predicting of COVID-19, with an accuracy of 0.77 and an AUC of 0.92. In order to improve the accuracy of prediction, we proposed a Multi Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) algorithm, which combines the Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) and Naïve Bayes (NB) classifier, to further select effective indicators from patients’ initial blood test results. The MCDM algorithm selected 3 dominant feature subsets: {Age, WBC, LYMC, NEUT} with a selection rate of 44%, {Age, NEUT, LYMC} with a selection rate of 38%, and {Age, WBC, LYMC} with a selection rate of 9%. Using these feature subsets, the optimized prediction model could achieve an accuracy of 0.82 and an AUC of 0.93. These results indicated that Age, WBC, LYMC, NEUT were the key factors for COVID-19 severity prediction. Using age and the indicators selected by the MCDM algorithm from initial blood routine test results can effectively predict the severity of COVID-19. Our research could not only help medical workers identify patients with severe COVID-19 at an early stage, but also help doctors understand the pathogenesis of COVID-19 through key indicators.
Early prediction of disease severity is important for effective treatment of COVID-19. We determined that age is a key indicator for severity predicting of COVID-19, with an accuracy of 0.77 and an AUC of 0.92. In order to improve the accuracy of prediction, we proposed a Multi Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) algorithm, which combines the Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) and Naïve Bayes (NB) classifier, to further select effective indicators from patients’ initial blood test results. The MCDM algorithm selected 3 dominant feature subsets {Age, WBC, LYMC, NEUT}, {Age, WBC, LMYC} and {Age, NEUT, LYMC}. Using these feature subsets, the optimized prediction model could achieve an accuracy of 0.82 and an AUC of 0.93. This result indicated that using age and the indicators selected by the MCDM algorithm from blood routine test results can effectively predict the severity of COVID-19 at an early stage.
Falls are the second leading cause of accidental or unintentional injuries/deaths worldwide. Accurate pose estimation using commodity mobile devices will help early detection and injury assessment of falls, which are essential for the first aid of elderly falls. By following the definition of fall, we propose a P ervasive P ose Est imation scheme for fall detection ( P \( ^2 \) Est ), which measures changes in tilt angle and height of the human body. For the tilt measurement, P \( ^2 \) Est leverages the pointing of the mobile device, e.g., the smartphone, when unlocking to associate the Device coordinate system with the World coordinate system. For the height measurement, P \( ^2 \) Est exploits the fact that the person’s height remains unchanged while walking to calibrate the pressure difference between the device and the floor. We have prototyped and tested P \( ^2 \) Est in various situations and environments. Our extensive experimental results have demonstrated that P \( ^2 \) Est can track the body orientation irrespective of which pocket the phone is placed in. More importantly, it enables the phone’s barometer to detect falls in various environments with decimeter-level accuracy.
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