The COVID‐19 pandemic led to widespread reductions in mobility and induced observable changes in atmospheric emissions. Recent work has employed novel mobility data sets as a proxy for trace gas emissions from traffic by scaling CO2 emissions linearly with those near‐real‐time mobility data. Yet, there has been little work evaluating these emission numbers. Here, we systematically compare these mobility data sets to traffic data from local governments in seven diverse urban and national/state regions to characterize the magnitude of errors that result from using the mobility data. We observe differences in excess of 60% between these mobility data sets and local traffic data. We could not find a general functional relationship between the mobility data and traffic flow over all the regions and observe higher deviations from using such general relationships than the original data. Finally, we give an overview of the potential errors that come from estimating CO2 emissions using (mobility or traffic) activity data. Future work should be cautious while using these mobility metrics for emission estimates.
Abstract. Gross primary productivity (GPP) is the sum of leaf photosynthesis and represents a crucial component of the global carbon cycle. Space-borne estimates of GPP typically rely on observable quantities that co-vary with GPP such as vegetation indices using reflectance measurements (e.g., normalized difference vegetation index, NDVI, near-infrared reflectance of terrestrial vegetation, NIRv, and kernel normalized difference vegetation index, kNDVI). Recent work has also utilized measurements of solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) as a proxy for GPP. However, these SIF measurements are typically coarse resolution, while many processes influencing GPP occur at fine spatial scales. Here, we develop a convolutional neural network (CNN), named SIFnet, that increases the resolution of SIF from the TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI) on board of the satellite Sentinel-5P by a factor of 10 to a spatial resolution of 500 m. SIFnet utilizes coarse SIF observations together with high-resolution auxiliary data. The auxiliary data used here may carry information related to GPP and SIF. We use training data from non-US regions between April 2018 until March 2021 and evaluate our CNN over the conterminous United States (CONUS). We show that SIFnet is able to increase the resolution of TROPOMI SIF by a factor of 10 with a r2 and RMSE metrics of 0.92 and 0.17 mW m−2 sr−1 nm−1, respectively. We further compare SIFnet against a recently developed downscaling approach and evaluate both methods against independent SIF measurements from Orbiting Carbon Observatory 2 and 3 (together OCO-2/3). SIFnet performs systematically better than the downscaling approach (r=0.78 for SIFnet, r=0.72 for downscaling), indicating that it is picking up on key features related to SIF and GPP. Examination of the feature importance in the neural network indicates a few key parameters and the spatial regions in which these parameters matter. Namely, the CNN finds low-resolution SIF data to be the most significant parameter with the NIRv vegetation index as the second most important parameter. NIRv consistently outperforms the recently proposed kNDVI vegetation index. Advantages and limitations of SIFnet are investigated and presented through a series of case studies across the United States. SIFnet represents a robust method to infer continuous, high-spatial-resolution SIF data.
Recent work used novel mobility data for assessing the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on traffic CO 2 emissions. However, we observe errors in excess of 60%.• The relationship between mobility and traffic activity data could not be explained by a general relationship over all investigated regions.• Errors in emission estimates come from the scaling with non-fuel activity data and the usage of mobility data as a proxy for traffic.
This study estimates the influence of anthropogenic emission reductions on nitrogen dioxide (normalNnormalO2) and ozone (O3) concentration changes in Germany during the COVID‐19 pandemic period using in‐situ surface and Sentinel‐5 Precursor TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI) satellite column measurements and GEOS‐Chem model simulations. We show that reductions in anthropogenic emissions in eight German metropolitan areas reduced mean in‐situ (& column) normalNnormalO2 concentrations by 23 % (& 16 %) between March 21 and June 30, 2020 after accounting for meteorology, whereas the corresponding mean in‐situ O3 concentration increased by 4 % between March 21 and May 31, 2020, and decreased by 3% in June 2020, compared to 2019. In the winter and spring, the degree of normalNnormalOX saturation of ozone production is stronger than in the summer. This implies that future reductions in normalNnormalOX emissions in these metropolitan areas are likely to increase ozone pollution during winter and spring if appropriate mitigation measures are not implemented. TROPOMI normalNnormalO2 concentrations decreased nationwide during the stricter lockdown period after accounting for meteorology with the exception of North‐West Germany which can be attributed to enhanced normalNnormalOX emissions from agricultural soils.
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