(the latest global standard normal period) and from the periods 1900-49 ('old' regime) and 1950-99 ('new' regime), as well as examination of the secular trend, shows that there is evidence that some parts of Greece have had shifts in their rainfall regime towards drier conditions. In general, rainfall amounts began to decline in the 1980s, a trend which has continued to the present. Most years between 1980 and 1999 experienced below to well-below 'normal' rainfall. Discrepancies between the 'old' and 'new' mean values

In this study, the spatial and temporal distribution of precipitation in the broader Greek area is investigated for the 26-yr period 1979–2004 by using monthly mean satellite-based data, with complete spatial coverage, taken from the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP). The results show that there exists a clear contrast between the more rainy western Greek area (rainside) and the drier eastern one (rainshadow), whereas there is little precipitation over the islands, particularly in the southern parts. The computed long-term areal mean annual precipitation amount averaged for the study area is equal to P = 639.8 ± 44.8 mm yr−1, showing a decreasing trend of −2.32 mm yr−1 or −60.3 mm over the 26-yr study period, which corresponds to −9.4%. This decrease of precipitation, arising primarily in winter and secondarily in spring, is the result of a decreasing trend from 1979 through the 1980s, against an increase during the 1990s through the early 2000s, followed again by a decrease up to the year 2004. The performed analysis reveals an increasing trend of precipitation in the central and northern parts of the study region, contrary to an identified decreasing trend in the southern parts, which is indicative of threatening desertification processes in those areas in the context of climatic changes in the climatically sensitive Mediterranean basin. In addition, the analysis shows that the precipitation decrease is due to a corresponding decrease of maximum precipitation against rather unchanged minimum precipitation amounts. The analysis indicates that the changing precipitation patterns in the region during winter are significantly anticorrelated with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index values, against a positive correlation during summer, highlighting thus the role of large-scale circulation patterns for regional climates. The GPCP precipitation data are satisfactorily correlated with instrumental measurements from 36 stations uniformly distributed over the study area (correlation coefficient R = 0.74 for all stations; R = 0.63–0.91 for individual stations).

The precipitation regime over the Mediterranean basin is investigated for the period 1979-2010 using monthly mean satellite data from the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCPv2). The results show that a clear contrast exists between the more rainy northern part of the study region (Southern Europe) and the drier southern area (North Africa, Iberian Peninsula) and between the western sides (rainsides) of the Iberian, Italian and Balkan peninsulas and their eastern sides (rainshadows). The mean annual precipitation averaged over the study area is P = 593 ± 203 mm year −1 , but it has a strong spatial variability ranging from 20 mm year −1 (North Africa) to 1500 mm year −1 (Alps). A significant seasonal variability exists, with the early winter and late autumn months (November and December) being the wettest with precipitation amounts larger than 60 mm month −1 . The GPCPv2 satellite precipitation data are satisfactorily correlated with rain gauge measurements from 433 stations within the study area (correlation coefficient R = 0.78 for all stations on a yearly basis, with values ranging between 0.72 and 0.82, depending on the season) with a slight overestimation. They also compare well with the higher spatial and temporal resolution Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) data, which supports the validity of the present study. * CV = ( /P mean ) × 100, where is the standard deviation and P mean is the mean value of 32-year seasonal precipitation data.

Monthly mean satellite data from the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCPv2) are used to examine the year-by-year variability of precipitation over the Mediterranean Basin and its changes over the period 1979-2010. The results show that the mean annual precipitation averaged over the study area has slightly increased from 1979 to 2010 by 1.28 mm or by 0.2% (trend not statistically significant at the 95% confidence level). Nevertheless, examining the trends at a local scale, spatial and temporal patterns are revealed, with opposite trends in adjacent areas and increasing precipitation in summer and autumn against almost unchanged or decreasing precipitation in winter and spring, respectively. Inter-decadal changes of precipitation are detected, with precipitation decreasing in the 1980s, then increasing through the late 1990s and finally declining in the 2000s before levelling off since 2007. These changes are significantly anti-correlated (R = −0.57, up to −0.66 in winter) with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index, thus confirming the critical role of this large-scale teleconnection for the regional precipitation over the basin.

No abstract