Recent observations from satellite gravimetry (the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) mission) suggest an acceleration of ice mass loss from the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS). The contribution of surface mass balance changes (due to variable precipitation) is compared with GRACE‐derived mass loss acceleration by assessing the estimated contribution of snow mass from meteorological reanalysis data. We find that over much of the continent, the acceleration can be explained by precipitation anomalies. However, on the Antarctic Peninsula and other parts of West Antarctica, mass changes are not explained by precipitation and are likely associated with ice discharge rate increases. The total apparent GRACE acceleration over all of the AIS between 2003 and 2013 is −13.6 ± 7.2 Gt/yr2. Of this total, we find that the surface mass balance component is −8.2 ± 2.0 Gt/yr2. However, the GRACE estimate appears to contain errors arising from the atmospheric pressure fields used to remove air mass effects. The estimated acceleration error from this effect is about 9.8 ± 5.8 Gt/yr2. Correcting for this yields an ice discharge acceleration of −15.1 ± 6.5 Gt/yr2.
Time-varying gravity observed by the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites measures surface water and ice mass redistribution driven by weather and climate forcing and has emerged as one of the most important data types in measuring changes in Earth’s climate. However, spatial leakage of GRACE signals, especially in coastal areas, has been a recognized limitation in quantitatively assessing mass change. It is evident that larger terrestrial signals in coastal regions spread into the oceans and vice versa and various remedies have been developed to address this problem. An especially successful one has been Forward Modeling but it requires knowledge of geographical locations of mass change to be fully effective. In this study, we develop a new method to suppress leakage effects using a linear least squares operator applied to GRACE spherical harmonic data. The method is effectively a constrained deconvolution of smoothing inherent in GRACE data. It assumes that oceanic mass changes near the coast are negligible compared to terrestrial changes, with additional spatial regularization constraints. Some calibration of constraint weighting is required. We apply the method to estimate surface mass loads over Australia using both synthetic and real GRACE data. Leakage into the oceans is effectively suppressed and when compared with mascon solutions there is better performance over interior basins.
Solid precipitation plays a major role in controlling the winter hydrological cycle and spring discharge in the Arctic region. However, it has not been well documented due to sharply decreasing numbers of precipitation gauges, gauge measurement biases, as well as limitations of conventional satellite methods in high latitudes. In this study, we document the winter season solid precipitation accumulation in the Arctic region using the latest new satellite measurements from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer‐Earth Observing System (AMSR‐E). GRACE measures the winter total water (mainly from snow water equivalent (SWE)) storage change through gravity changes while AMSR‐E measures the winter SWE through passive microwave measurements. The GRACE and AMSR‐E measurements are combined with in situ and numerical model estimates of discharge and evapotranspiration to estimate the winter season solid precipitation accumulation in the Arctic region using the water budget equation. These two satellite‐based estimates are then compared to the conventional estimates from two global precipitation products, such as the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) and Climate Prediction Center's Merged Analysis of Precipitation (CMAP), and three reanalyses, the National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) reanalysis, the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts' ERA‐Interim, and the Japan Meteorological Agency's Climate Data Assimilation System (JCDAS) reanalysis. The GRACE‐based estimate is very close to the GPCP and ERA‐Interim estimates. The AMSR‐E‐based estimate is the most different from the other estimates. This GRACE‐based measurement of winter season solid precipitation accumulation can provide a new valuable benchmark to understand the hydrological cycle, to validate and evaluate the model simulation, and to improve data assimilation in the Arctic region.
Antarctic ice mass balance is determined by precipitation and ice discharge, and understanding their relative contributions to contemporary Antarctic ice mass change is important to project future ice mass loss and resulting sea level rise. There has been evidence that anomalous precipitation affects Antarctic ice mass loss estimates, and thus the precipitation contribution should be understood and considered in future projections. In this study, we revisit changes in Antarctic ice mass over recent decades and examine precipitation contributions over this period. We show that accumulated (time-integrated) precipitation explains most inter-annual anomalies of Antarctic ice mass change during the GRACE period (2003–2017). From 1979 to 2017, accumulated Antarctic precipitation contributes to significant ice mass loss acceleration in the Pacific sector and deceleration in the Atlantic-Indian Sectors, forming a bi-polar spatial pattern. Principal component analysis reveals that such a bi-polar pattern is likely modulated by the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). We also find that recent ice mass loss acceleration in 2007 is related to a variation in precipitation accumulation. Overall ice discharge has accelerated at a steady rate since 1992, but has not seen a recent abrupt increase.
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