This paper aims to analyze the importance of rose exports to the US market over the total GDP of Ecuador and what is the importance of this market for the country's economy. A documentary research design methodology and part of a bibliographic search were used; In addition, a type of integral correlational research was used, applying the least squares method where the floriculture sector was taken into account, this time the subdivision of roses directed to the United States market. In conclusion, the export of roses to the US market does not have high explanatory significance, which is why it is recommended to use other variables for possible subsequent studies, in turn, the GDP of Ecuador for the period (2015-2019) does not suffer large variations due to this subdivision from the flowers. Keywords: exports, rose, GDP, Ecuador. References [1]A. Yagual., S. Lovato and M. Mite.,“Importancia de la exportación de flores sobre total exportaciones FOB no tradicionales en Ecuador 2012-2016”. Revista Espacios, 39(18), (2018). [2]PRO ECUADOR. (2018). www.proecuador.gob.ec. Obtenido de www.proecuador.gob.ec: https://www.proecuador.gob.ec/tag/rosas/ [3]EXPOFLORES. (2018). expoflores.com. Obtenido de expoflores.com: https://expoflores.com/informes-economicos-2015-2018/ [4]“Ficha Sectorial: Cultivo de Rosas”. Coorporación Financiera Nacional (CFN). Quito: Subgerencia de Análisis e Información(2017). [5]Banco Central del Ecuador. (2020). www.bce.fin.ec. [6]“Cifras Macroeconómicas del Ecuador”. Federación Nacional de Cámaras de Comercio del Ecuador Cámara de Comercio de Guayaquil, Departamento de Investigación y Proyectos, (2019). [7]S. Pino, H. Aguilar, A. Apolo, and L. Sisalema, “Aporte del sector agropecuario a la economía del Ecuador. Análisis crítico de su evolución en el período de dolarización. Años 2000 – 2016”. Revista Espacios, 39(32),(2018). [8]P. Alvarez, A. Crespo, F. Núñez, and C. Usabiaga, “Introducción de elementos autorregresivos”. Revista Dinámica de Sistemas en modelos de dinámica de sistemas, 2(1), 37-66 (2006).
The present investigation is of a macroeconomic nature, its purpose is to analyze the flow of migrants who entered Ecuador and the behavior of underemployment during the period 2012-2019. For this, an investigation is proposed based on the hypothetical-deductive method, of a correlational type and not experimental; using information collected on official websites such as the National Institute of Statistics and Censuses and the Central Bank of Ecuador; a quarterly series of the two proposed variables was established: Number of migrants in Ecuador is the independent variable and Underemployment is the dependent variable. The methodology used proposes a model of autoregressive vectors (VAR) in order to establish whether or not there is a causal relationship between the two variables. As a result of the investigation, it was observed that there is a unidirectional causal relationship between underemployment and migration.
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