* Autor a quien se debe dirigir la correspondenciaRecibido Ene. 26, 2011; Aceptado Mar. 21, 2011; Versión Final recibida May. 24, 2011 Resumen Este estudio determina el parque de tractores y la evolución del crecimiento de la adopción agregada del tractor agrícola en Chile. Se aplicó un modelo logístico para determinar el crecimiento de la adopción y la rapidez de adopción del tractor agrícola. Los parámetros del modelo se determinaron mediante un procedimiento no lineal. Se usó el balance del parque de tractores y la curva de tractorización y de adopción para estimar la variación de las unidades entre t y t-1 y se relacionó con la incorporación de tractores y con aquellos dados de baja. El modelo logístico mostró un nivel de ajuste significativo y permitió estimar la tasa de adopción y el nivel de saturación de la adopción. Se concluye que la metodología se puede aplicar para el estudio de la adopción de tecnologías en otras regiones y otros países.
Palabras clave: tractorización, innovación tecnológica, parque de tractores, modelo logístico
Relationship between the Agricultural Tractor Stock and the Adoption and Diffusion Patterns using a Logistic Model AbstractThis paper determines the tractor stock and aggregate adoption growth of agricultural tractors in Chile. A logistic model was applied to determine the adoption growth and the adoption speed of agricultural tractors. Model parameters were determined by a non-linear algorithm. The tractor stock balance and the tractorization curve were used to estimate variation rate between t and t-1. This variation was associated with the introduction of tractors and those units removed from the stock. The logistic model showed a significant adjustment level and allowed estimating the rate of adoption and the adoption saturation level. It is concluded that the methodology can be applied to study technological adoption in other regions and other countries.
A B S T R A C TWhen establishing strategic lines for agricultural activities, geomatic and its diverse technologies allow generating a highly representative and reliable characterization of the territory, expressed in a dynamic and flexible digital data base. This helps the planning and monitoring of the productive changes observed in lands benefited with the increase of irrigation water and the improvement of its distribution network. The main goal of the investigation was to create a Geographic Information System (GIS), feed it with farming and socioeconomic information bases allowing the identification of homogeneous intervention sectors and the establishment of an agricultural exploitation typology of the zones directly or indirectly benefited by the construction of the "Convento Viejo" Dam in its second stage. The methodology employed included the creation of a digital database from the compilation and processing of different sources and formats of digital geographic cover, geo-processing of the covers to identify homogenous intervention zones, design and application of a survey to classify the agricultural exploitations and the elaboration of a GIS consultation interphase. Four homogeneous geographic sectors were identified and delimited by topographic, agricultural and climatic variables. The agricultural exploitations typology resulted in four conglomerates (clusters) grouped according to social, productive, financial and commercial variables. The designed GIS allows easy consultation and analysis of the information improving agricultural management and planning.
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