Exploratory data from more than 1000 analyses of the distribution of deuterium in waters of the North American continent and the surface oceans contiguous to the continent are presented. The elementary theory of the processes that appear to explain the changes in the deuterium content of natural waters is developed. Quantitative expressions of the deuterium fractionation that can be expected to occur are presented for all phases of the hydrologic cycle from the evaporation of water from the oceans, its precipitation as rain and snow, and its travel back to the sea. Processes such as the freezing of water under equilibrium and nonequilibrium conditions, the evaporation of water from closed lakes and from lakes with an outlet, the formation of fog, frost, and dew are also discussed. The regional characteristics of the surface waters of North America are described and interpreted as reflecting the history of the water in the course of the hydrologic cycle.
Experimental data based on more than 1000 analyses of the distribution of deuterium in waters of the North American continent and the surface oceans contiguous to the continent are presented. An elementary theory which appears to explain the changes in deuterium content that natural waters undergo in the course of the hydrologic cycle is developed.
Background: The mosquito Aedes aegypti has long been a vector for human illness in the Southeastern United States. In the past, it has been responsible for outbreaks of dengue, chikungunya, and yellow fever and, very recently, the Zika virus that has been introduced to the region. Multiple studies have modeled the geographic distribution of Ae. aegypti as a function of climate factors; however, this ignores the importance of humans to the anthropophilic biter. Furthermore, Ae. aegypti thrives in areas where humans have created standing water sites, such as water storage containers and trash. As models are developed to examine the potential impact of climate change, it becomes increasingly important to include the most comprehensive set of predictors possible. Results: This study uses Maxent, a species distribution model, to evaluate the effects of adding poverty and population density to climate-only models. Performance was evaluated through model fit statistics, such as AUC, omission, and commission, as well as individual variable contributions and response curves. Models which included both population density and poverty exhibited better predictive power and produced more precise distribution maps. Furthermore, the two human population characteristics accounted for much of the model contribution-more so than climate variables. Conclusions: Modeling mosquito distributions without accounting for their dependence on local human populations may miss factors that are very important to niche realization and subsequent risk of infection for humans. Further research is needed to determine if additional human characteristics should be evaluated for model inclusion.
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