Accurate volcanic eruption forecasting is especially challenging at open vent volcanoes with persistent low levels of activity and relatively sparse permanent monitoring networks. We present a description of seismicity observed at Fuego volcano in Guatemala during January of 2012, a period representative of low-level, open-vent dynamics typical of the current eruptive period. We use this time to establish a baseline of activity from which to build more accurate forecasts. Seismicity consists of both harmonic and non-harmonic tremor, rockfalls, and a variety of signals associated with frequent small emissions from two vents. We categorize emissions into explosions and degassing events (each emitted from both vents); the seismic signatures from these two types of emissions are highly variable. We propose that both vents partially to fully seal between explosions. This model allows for the two types of emissions and accommodates the variety of seismic waveforms we recorded. In addition, there are many small discrete events not linked to eruptions that we examine in detail here. Of these events, 183 are classified into 5 families of repeating, pulse-like long period (0.5-5 Hz) events. Using arrival times from the 5 families and other high-quality events recorded on a temporary, nine-station network on the edifice of Fuego, we compute a 1-D velocity model and use it to locate earthquakes. The waveforms and shallow locations of the repeating families suggest that they are likely produced by rapid increases in gas pressure within a crack very near the surface, possibly within a sealed or partially sealed conduit. The framework from this study is a short but instrument intense observation period, activity description, seismic event detection, velocity modeling, and repose period analysis. This framework can act as a template for augmenting monitoring efforts at other under-studied volcanoes. Even relatively limited studies can at a minimum aid in drawing parallels between volcanic systems and improve comparisons.

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We describe a suite of repeating long‐period seismic events at Fuego volcano in Guatemala. These events, recorded on a temporary network over a period of 8 days during January 2012, did not occur with any visibly or audibly detectable emissions from the volcano. Events are separated into families based on different correlation coefficient thresholds. A correlation coefficient threshold of 0.70 yields two families with 123 events and 25 events, respectively. These two event families share enough common features that if the correlation coefficient threshold is 0.65, the families merge and grow to include an additional 226 events. The short duration and frequency content concentrated below 2 Hz of the second family allow us to create a phase‐weighted stack which we then inverted for source mechanism and location using unconstrained full‐waveform moment‐tensor inversion. The eigenvalue decompositions of the best‐fit models indicate the source is a crack with some volume change. The short duration of the modeled source time function and the slight variability of signal shape within the suite of repeating events indicate the events are caused by rapid pressurization of cracks or series of connected cracks. The interevent times of these events appear clustered, indicating driving processes more complex than continual degassing of magma in the conduit would allow. Better understanding of these events may shed light on processes not captured by real‐time seismic amplitude measurements or gas flux measurements alone.

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