Objective Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) remains a major cause of death. No studies have reported the use of rapid influenza diagnostic tests (RIDT) for the etiological diagnosis, and the factors contributing to severity and mortality have not yet been fully investigated. The aim of this study was to review the etiologies of CAP using RIDT and to identify risk factors related to the severity and mortality of the disease. Methods This retrospective study assessed these factors in hospitalized patients, with special emphasis on microbial etiology. Results A total of 1,032 patients aged 63.9±18.3 years were studied, 66.2% of whom were men. Microbial identification was obtained in 57.0% of the cases. The most frequent causative microbial agents were Streptococcus pneumoniae, Mycoplasma pneumoniae and the influenza virus, and the second most frequent pathogens in the patients with severe CAP and the non-survivors were S. pneumoniae and the influenza virus. Age (! 65 years), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, congestive heart failure, diabetes mellitus, dementia and Legionella spp. infection and polymicrobial infection were each found to be independent factors related to severity in the multivariate analysis, whereas "unidentified pathogen" was found to be an independent factor for non-severe CAP. Age (! 65 years), chronic pulmonary aspergillosis, post-lung cancer surgery and severe CAP were found to be independent factors for non-survival according to a multivariate analysis. Conclusion In addition to S. pneumoniae, the influenza virus was a frequent cause of CAP overall and a frequent causative pathogen in both severe cases of CAP and non-survivors. Legionella spp. infection and polymicrobial infection were found to be an independent factor for the severity of CAP along with advanced age and certain comorbidities. An advanced age, certain respiratory comorbidities and severe CAP were found to be important independent factors for the mortality of CAP.
Objective The prognostic factors of chronic necrotizing pulmonary aspergillosis remain unclear. We assessed the prognostic factors of all-cause mortality in patients with chronic necrotizing pulmonary aspergillosis, focusing especially on underlying pulmonary disease, first-line treatment and host predisposition. Methods We retrospectively analyzed the medical records of 194 patients negative for HIV who had chronic necrotizing pulmonary aspergillosis treated at our institution in Saitama, Japan. Results The patients (median age, 68.5 years) were followed over a median follow-up time of 2.6 years. The underlying pulmonary diseases consisted of previous pulmonary tuberculosis in 59 (30.4%) patients, emphysema in 39 (20.1%) patients, interstitial lung disease in 32 (16.5%) patients, nontuberculous mycobacteriosis in 29 (14.9%) patients and other diseases in 35 (18%) patients. The first-line treatments included observation in 65 (33.5%) patients, itraconazole in 56 (28.9%) patients, micafungin in 46 (23.7%) patients, voriconazole in 22 (11.3%) patients and amphotericin B (including liposomal amphotericin B) in five (2.6%) patients. The overall cumulative mortality rate was 50.2% at five years and 67.4% at 10 years. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard modeling found an older age, the presence of systemic comorbidities, baseline corticosteroid use, a body mass index of <18.5 kg/m 2 and a C-reactive protein level of ! 5.0 mg/dL to be negative prognostic factors for all-cause mortality. ConclusionThe 5-year mortality rate of chronic necrotizing pulmonary aspergillosis was 50.2%. When clinical trials are designed and implemented to test effective drug therapies in patients with chronic necrotizing pulmonary aspergillosis, the trial patients should be stratified according to these prognostic factors prior to randomization.
BackgroundNeutrophilic inflammation is associated with poorly controlled asthma. Serum levels of sST2, a soluble IL-33 receptor, increase in neutrophilic lung diseases. We hypothesized that high serum sST2 levels in stable asthmatics are a predictor for exacerbation within a short duration.MethodsThis prospective observational study evaluated the serum sST2 levels of 104 asthmatic patients who were treated by a lung disease specialist with follow-ups for 3 months.ResultsHigh serum sST2 levels (> 18 ng/ml) predicted severe asthma exacerbation within 3 months. Serum sST2 levels correlated positively with asthma severity (treatment step), airway H2O2 levels, and serum IL-8 levels. High serum sST2 levels and blood neutrophilia (> 6000 /μl) were independent predictors of exacerbation. We defined a post-hoc exacerbation-risk score combining high serum sST2 level and blood neutrophilia, which stratified patients into four groups. The score predicted exacerbation-risk with an area under curve of 0.91 in the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Patients with the highest scores had the most severe phenotype, with 85.7% showing exacerbation, airflow limitation, and corticosteroid-insensitivity.ConclusionsHigh serum sST2 levels predicted exacerbation within the general asthmatic population and, when combined with blood neutrophil levels, provided an exacerbation-risk score that was an accurate predictor of exacerbation occurring within 3 months.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (10.1186/s12931-018-0872-2) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
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