When a ranking of some objects (chemicals, geographical sites, river sections, etc.) by a multicriteria analysis is of concern, then it is often difficult to find a common scale among the criteria, and therefore even the simple sorting process is performed by applying additional constraints, just to get a ranking index. However such additional constraints, often arising from normative considerations, are controversially discussed. The theory of partially ordered sets and its graphical representation (Hasse diagrams) does not need such additional information just to sort the objects. Here, the approach of using partially ordered sets is described by applying it to a battery of tests, developed by Dutka et al. In our analysis we found the following: (1) The dimension analysis of partially ordered sets suggests that, at least in the case of the 55 analyzed samples and the evaluation by the scores, developed by Dutka et al., there is a considerable redundancy with respect to ranking. The visualization of the sediment sites can be performed within a two-dimensional grid. (2) Information, obtained from the structure of the Hasse diagram: For example six classes of sediment sites have high priority, and each class exhibits a different pattern of results. (3) Loss of information, when an aggregation of test results is used in order to guarantee complete comparability among all objects. A relation between information drawn from the graphic and the uncertainty of ranking after using an aggregation is given. (4) The sensitivity analysis identifies one test as most important, namely the test for Fecal Coliforms/Escherichia coli. This means that the ranking of samples is heavily influenced by the results of this specific test.
The atmospheric atomic bomb test fallout affected the human sex odds at birth overall, and the Chernobyl fallout had a similar impact in Europe and parts of Asia. The birth sex odds near nuclear facilities are also distorted. The persistently disturbed secular human sex odds trends allow the estimation of the global deficit of births in the range of several millions.
SUMMARYAn important task of environmental research is the investigation of a possible causal relationship between exposure and the frequency of a biologic trait. Major industrial accidents provide examples where the exposure status of large populations may change considerably within relatively short time intervals of days or weeks (e.g. Seveso herbicide plant explosion, Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant catastrophe). Therefore, purely temporal change-points may be tested in time series of appropriate public health indicators (e.g. mortality, morbidity, sex ratio at birth). If, in addition, the spatial contamination is strong and variable enough and can be identified with sufficient precision at the level of regional units (e.g. districts), then a spatial-temporal approach makes sense. This essentially means that a global time trend model is adjusted for region-specific trend functions, allowing for local or global temporal jumps or broken sticks (change-points) at certain points in time. The local jump heights may be tested for associations with local exposure (exposure-response relation), and all other characteristics in the data that vary with locality and in time are automatically accounted for, thus minimizing confounding. Spatial-temporal approaches may help to strengthen the evidence of possible causal relationships. As an example, the human sex ratio at birth in several European countries before and after the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant accident was investigated. A long-term chronic impact of radioactive fallout on the secondary sex ratio has been found.
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