Several studies conducted in U.S. cities report an association between acute exposures to particulate matter (PM), usually measured as PM and mortality. Evidence of high concentrations of PM in Eastern Europe and in large metropolitan areas outside of the United States, such as Mexico City and Bangkok, underscores the need to determine whether these same associations occur outside of the United States. In addition, conducting studies of mortality and air pollution in regions that have distinctly different seasonal patterns than those of the United States provides an effective opportunity to assess the potentially confounding aspects of seasonality. Over the last few years, daily measures of ambient PM have been collected in Bangkok, a tropical city of over 6 million people. In this metropolitan area, PM consists largely of fine particles generated from diesel- and gasoline-powered automobiles, and from two-stroke motorcycle engines. Our analysis involved the examination of the relationship between PM and daily mortality for 1992 through 1995. In addition to counts of daily natural mortality (total mortality net of accidents, homicides, and suicides), the data were compiled to assess both cardiovascular and respiratory mortality, and natural mortality by age group. A multivariate Poisson regression model was used to explain daily mortality while controlling for several covariates including temperature, humidity, day of the week, season, and time. The analysis indicated a statistically significant association between PM10 and all of the alternative measures of mortality. The results suggest a 10-µg/m change in daily PM is associated with a 1-2% increase in natural mortality, a 1-2% increase in cardiovascular mortality, and a 3-6% increase in respiratory mortality. These relative risks are generally consistent with or greater than those reported in most studies undertaken in the United States.
Willingness-to-pay (WTP) measures of the effects of changes in health on a person's welfare are more comprehensive than traditional cost-of-illness (COI) measures, but they are sometimes difficult to obtain. The authors investigated two approaches for measuring heart patients' WTP for changes in their angina symptoms. First, actual expenditures and perceived angina episodes avoided were used to infer an averting-behavior measurement of WTP. Second, a contingent-valuation approach was used to ask direct WTP questions regarding a hypothetical medical treatment that could be purchased to avoid additional angina episodes. The results indicated that although negligible COI changes were expected with small changes in angina frequency, the subjects had significant WTP to avoid increases in angina. The average WTP to avoid additional angina episodes revealed by the averting-behavior questions was comparable to the directly-elicited WTP, providing a test of the validity of the contingent-valuation approach.
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