Analysis of the innovative development of the regional economy is a relevant problem due to its role in ensuring the economic security of the country and achieving priority goals. The subject of the research are the regions of one of Russia's most dynamically developing macro-regions -the Volga Federal District. It features innovation clusters, a network of modern manufacturing companies, research organizations. At the same time, it developed a significant territorial heterogeneity of the regional space.Therefore, in the course of the study, a typology of the regions was drafted according to a number of indicators, which made it possible to assess the level of their innovative development and identify zones of relative stability, medium and critical state. A forecast of the main indicators of the innovation component was made showing the ability of the regions to overcome the factors preventing the development of the innovation economy.The research results showed that most of the regions have a medium level of economic security in the field of innovation. The Nizhny Novgorod Region and the Republic of Tatarstan are at a high level. The economy of these regions is characterized by a high level of diversification, resilience to instability in the domestic market and external challenges. The Saratov region, the Republic of Mari El and the Orenburg Region are in a low-level zone. A short-term forecast indicates that in general the situation will not change -the regions will increase or decrease the values of the indices within the achieved levels of economic security. A qualitative transition to a new level is possible provided that the problems that hinder the innovative economy in the regions are eliminated.

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In the conditions of economic instability, it is importance to improve the quality of the production potential, which the regions of the country have in accordance with the different conditions. However, the available accumulated potential does not always allow to develop steadily and achieve strategic objectives. The study attempted to diagnose the production potential of the subjects of one of the leading macro-regions of the Russian Federationthe Urals Federal District. In the Urals Federal District regions are formedgrowth poles. These include, primarily, the Khanty-Mansiysk and Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Districts. They have a commodity export orientation, are among the three leading regions in the value of fixed assets, second only to the Moscow. However, the capital productivity is low due to the high cost of fixed assets. The Sverdlovsk Region, which historically develops an industrial complex based on engineering and metallurgy, has a significant production potential. By value of fixed assets, the region ranks sixth in the country. According to capital productivity, the region is the third in the Urals Federal District. Another subject has a large accumulated potentialthe Chelyabinsk Region. Its economy based on the metallurgical industry, engineering, chemical complex. The capital productivity of the highest of these subjects, second only to the Tyumen region without autonomous districts. The positive impact on the production potential of the macro-region of innovation, together with the development of production complexes, has a beneficial effect on the economic security of the Ural macro-region.

Стратегии социально-экономического развития регионов разрабатываются в соответствии с принципом использования современной методологии принятия эффективных решений на основе стратегического планирования. Информационной основой стратегического планирования являются показатели устойчивого социально-экономического развития. В современных условиях роль анализа устойчивого развития повышается, поскольку усиливается влияние внешних и внутренних факторов нестабильности региональной экономики. Актуальность рассматриваемой в статье проблемы обусловлена тем, что качество анализа устойчивого развития регионов (учет факторов внешней и внутренней среды и их оценка) определяет адекватность стратегических приоритетов, сформированных в ходе планирования. Обеспечение этой адекватности невозможно без выявления дифференциации российских регионов по таким ключевым показателям, характеризующим устойчивость, как ВРП на душу населения и индекс человеческого развития. Также в статье приведены результаты рейтинга устойчивого развития городов России; показано, что экономическая нестабильность оказывает не только отрицательное влияние на устойчивое развитие экономики, но и выполняет конструктивную роль в процессе регионального развития. Проанализированы показатели, характеризующие устойчивое развитие макрорегионов (федеральных округов): индекс промышленного производства, реальные денежные доходы населения. Особое внимание уделено изменению качества жизни населения регионов через индикаторы: уровень бедности, уровень образования, продолжительность жизни населения. Показано влияние размера государственного долга в российских регионах на экономическую нестабильность.

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