The opinions of international organizations, consulting agencies, research centers, domestic and foreign scientists on the impact of war on the economic development of Ukraine are considered. The scale of destruction and loss of the industrial sector as a result of Russian military aggression is assessed in view of its critical role in ensuring Ukraine's defense capability, recovery and growth of its economy. The authors’ approach to assessing the consequences of Russian military aggression for Ukrainian industry, in contrast to existing developments, takes into account sectoral and regional aspects of transformation and offers a basis for substantiating the vectors of Ukraine’s post-war economic recovery aimed at reducing the risks of damage to industrial facilities, ensuring integrity and functionality of domestic industrial complex in the face of prolonged military threats. It is shown that in most regions of the country, an outdated industrial structure has increased the level of security threats to Ukrainian economy in the new generation warfare: hybrid, non-contact, long-range, aimed at targeted destruction of industrial and infrastructural facilities. Post-war reconstruction of industry should be based on territorial and sectoral diversification, innovative development of the military-industrial complex and providing it with scientific basis, formation of a new system of international trade logistics. The economic prospects for Ukraine's recovery are uncertain and will be largely influenced by the ongoing military conflict. At the same time, the country's success in the military confrontation is determined not only by military and financial assistance, but also to a large extent by the stability of its economic foundation – industrial sector. Thus, ensuring the proper functioning of the industry requires both immediate actions to restore production processes by relocation from hazardous areas, establishment of new logistics chains, etc., and formation of strategic goals for reconstruction and identification of sectoral recovery vectors.
The methodological approach for assessing the formation of food demand in unforeseen situations using digital Internet-technologies and the assessment itself, is substantiated in the paper (in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic of 2020). Comparison and theoretical generalization, as well as statistical test-assessment of hypotheses and structural regularities based on the data of Google Trends Internet platform, is used to analyze consumer preferences and intensity of demand changes for meat, milk, sugar, bread, and flour during the pandemic and quarantine, both in developed and developing countries. It is discovered that the biggest changes can be observed in the developed countries: consumer preferences shifted from rather expensive food products (milk and meat) to much cheaper ones (flour and bread). It is asserted that a decrease in consumer demand for basic food products will have a negative impact on the global economy. In 2020, a considerable decrease in GDP is expected for the developed countries; in the developing countries, GDP decline will not be as large, but prices are expected to rise much more noticeably. The following anti-crisis measures are proposed: support of the most vulnerable population and increase of food accessibility; temporary reduction of the VAT and other taxes influencing the price of food; reduction of central banks’ lending rates, etc. With the correct measures applied, the stabilization of consumer demand for food and gradual growth of the global economy is expected by the end of 2021.
The problems associated with the total loss of the industrial potential of Ukraine, caused by the full-scale invasion of Russia into Ukraine, have deepened even more due to the intensification of migration processes and the outflow of professional personnel. The most important lever of the post-war recovery of the industry should be the rational realization of its most valuable capital – the intellectual resource. Therefore, the issue of preserving, consolidating, and developing the intellectual potential of industry has become an acute issue for our country today. The article examines the problems and peculiarities of the intellectual personnel potential development of Ukraine’s industry, exacerbated by the collapse of industrial production, the loss of qualified workers, the strengthening of migration processes, the lagging of professional education from modern production requirements, the decline in the prestige of engineering professions, and the non-availability of the priority of the STEM approach in national professional education. The authors focus on the rapid development of technologies, which increases the requirements for acquiring modern knowledge, professional qualifications, competencies, and the opportunity to receive life-long education. Ukraine’s European integration progress needs to consider the foreign experience of cooperation between education and business to improve the qualifications of personnel and support the intellectual personnel resource in implementating the policy for the development of STEM disciplines and the involvement of young people in national programs to eliminate gaps in skills and knowledge. The subject of the study is the development of proposals for state bodies regarding the preservation, consolidation, and development of the intellectual resource of industry in the post-war reconstruction of the country. The purpose of this publication is to determine how to preserve and develop the intellectual personnel potential for the post-war recovery of the industry, considering the implementation of Ukraine’s European integration aspirations regarding the development of personnel competencies, skills, and abilities.
Digital inequality of the regions is considered one of the topical issues of sustainable development provision in less developed countries. It can be defined as a gap between the geographical areas regarding the access opportunities to ICT and the Internet use for different activities. The goal of the study is to identify the link between the regional digital divide and the level of economic development in Ukraine and generalize international practices of digitalization promotion in lagging regions. Methodologically, various statistical methods (analytical grouping, variation, and correlation analysis) were used. The most appropriate and available data for assessing the digital divide referred to the State Statistical Service of Ukraine’s survey on Internet users in Ukrainian regions. The study revealed an overall shrink in the variation coefficient of the share of Internet users (from 36.4% in 2010 to 10.2% in 2019). However, the variation coefficients for the share of interacting with public authorities, reading online, and e-mailing persons remain significant.Furthermore, analytical grouping of regions suggested that the level of industrial sector development influenced the penetration of digital technologies into public life vastly, though several unaccounted factors also existed. Finally, the paper examined international practices of managing the digital divide. As a result, recommendations for public policy (e.g., the implementation of training programs for late adults and elderly, improved digital maintenance and digitalization programs for schools, price equalization for digital technologies, equal Internet provision in different regions, and investments in services digitalization) were developed.
Relevance of the research topic is due to the need of developed and developing states of the world in renaissance and improvement of industrial policy as a key instrument of economic development strategy in a globalizing world. Formulation of the problem. The efficiency of industrial policy in countries with different level of development depends on the fact how principles the policy is based on take into consideration the starting national conditions and requirements and trends of global market. For the countries with the same levels of income it is possible to determine the common directions of industrial development strategies and efficient tools of industrial policy. Under similar starting conditions differences in approaches to industrial policy may also determine the differences in results of its implementation; under different starting conditions they can entail the smoothing out of economic performance and a rapid convergence of economies.Analysis of recent research and publications. Some issues on industrial policy implementation in the countries of the world were investigated by both domestic and foreign scholars: A. I. Amosha, A. Andreoni, K. Warwick, V. P. Vyshnevsky, V. M. Heyets, G. Cresti, J. Lin., V. I. Liashenko, A. Noman, I. Nubler, K. Ohno, H. alazar-Xirinachs, E. Starikov, J. Stiglitz, V. Treichel, K. Shwab. Selection of unexplored parts of the general problem. In spite of the multiple attempts to generalize the approaches and instruments of industrial policy for groups of countries the search of optimal design of industrial policy is still going on, what makes the adoption of important industrial development regulations complicated and is the reason of bitter discussions between the branches of authorities in the course of formation of Strategy of Ukrainian industrial complex development, legislative regulation of «industrial visa-free» and export duties on some types of feedstock. Setting the task, the purpose of the study. The purpose of the study is generalization of the experience of industrial policies in countries with different levels of economic development and justification of the need to use it in setting the basic principles of domestic industrial policies. Method or methodology for conducting research. In the research we used general and specific scientific methods of analysis, synthesis, induction and deduction, historical, comparison, dialectical method of knowledge; also methods of statistical analysis, monographic research for countries’ experience, expert assessment method for elaboration the recommendations on industrial policy implementation in transformation economies. Presentation of the main material (results of work). The industrial policy of three groups of countries – with high, middle and low income – are studied due to their historical development. Socioeconomic and institutional conditions of countries, where the implementation of a certain type of industrial policy had positive or negative results, were determined. The analysis of the Ukrainian industrial performance and industrial policy showed that the policy should be revised according to the relevance of instruments and measures to the challenges of internal and global environment. The priority directions of industrial development are determined and the key principles of industrial policy in Ukraine are justified based on foreign experience. The field of application of results. The results of this research can be applied in the process of industrial regulatory framework formation, in the Concept of state industrial policy and the Strategy of industrial development elaboration by central executive authorities, and in the preparation of relevant sections of programs of regions’ socioeconomic and cultural development. Conclusions according to the article. In the study it is determined that these are the protectionism measures and innovation activity stimulation which are the base of the modern industrial policies in the countries with a high level of development; the middle-income countries should prioritize innovation and technology policies; the low-income states including Ukraine should focus on industrial modernization, import substitution, and the integration into global value chains in order to accelerate their socioeconomic development and strengthen the competitiveness over the world markets.
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