The article highlights the research results on the assessment of natural moisture supply in Ukraine, the state of water resources and agricultural production in the face of modern climate change taking into account the forecast for the medium and long term prospects. It was established that the rate of air temperature growth for the period of 1975-2019 in Ukraine ranges from 0.61 to 0.82oC, while in neighboring post-Soviet countries (Russia, Moldova, Belarus) – this figure is 0.47 - 0.59oC, and in the northern hemisphere and Europe – it is 0.34 and 0.47oC respectively. These data show that the rate of air temperature rise in Ukraine is much higher compared to European countries and the whole world. The rapid rise in average annual temperature in Ukraine is not accompanied by a significant increase in precipitation. Its amount in Ukraine as well as in some other regions remains virtually unchanged. Due to the steady increase in temperature, the area of Ukraine with a significant deficit of natural moisture supply for the period of 1990-2015 increased by 7%, and with excessive and sufficient natural moisture supply, on the contrary, decreased by 10%. If the current warming rates are kept until 2050 and 2100, the territory of the country with insufficient humidity will increase up to 56 and 71%, respectively. As a result of such changes, there is a high probability of medium and long-term prospects of increasing arable land with insufficient natural moisture supply up to 20.6 million hectares (67%) and up to 24.9 million hectares (80%) with a simultaneous decrease in arable land with sufficient natural moisture supply up to 5.5 - 1.8 million hectares. At present, the potential total evaporation is 40-45 km3/year higher than in 1990. As a result, despite the decrease in water consumption, the total amount of water consumption taken from the territory of Ukraine is 20-25 km3 higher. Further climate change will lead to an increase in the volume of additional water consumption till 2050 by 80 km3, and till 2100 - by almost 150 km3 compared to 1990. Modern climate change has significantly affected the cropping systems and their productivity at regional level. The average yield of grain and legumes in the Forest-Steppe and Polissya compared to 1990 increased by 46-61%, and in the Steppe it decreased by 10%. A similar trend is observed with regard to the changes in the productivity of other major cereals, except corn, the yield of which increased in all areas, but in the Forest-Steppe and Polissya by 71-82%, and in the Steppe - only by 9%. The general increase in the production of grain and legumes in the country for the last years was only due to more humid regions - Polissya and Forest-Steppe. Climate change, which has already taken place, proved to be favorable for the spread of the most economically profitable crops in the north of the country, while limiting their production in the south. Thus, in the face of climate change, the conditions of moisture supply in the territory of Ukraine are the main limiting factor that limits not only the level of crop productivity, but also the use of natural and anthropogenic potential of agriculture.
Climate change has caused rapid soil dehydration in Ukraine; therefore sustainable agriculture will only be possible applying throughout irrigation or water regulation. Meanwhile, the use of the irrigation and drainage systems potential remains extremely unsatisfactory. In 2019, 532,000 ha were actually irrigated, and water regulation was performed on less than 300,000 ha. The purpose of the research. To analyze the existing state and substantiate the areas of the irrigation and drainage sector development to ensure the sustainable agriculture in the face of a changing climate. Materials and methods of the research. In the work, a set of methods was used: analytical, expert evaluations, surveys, comparisons and analogues, experimental. Observation data from the state meteorological stations network were used to evaluate hydrothermal conditions and the data from the network of hydrological posts of Ukrhydrometcentre were used to evaluate the river condition. To assess the technical condition of the engineering infrastructure, methodological approaches were used in accordance with the requirements of the international and European standards and the normative documents currently in force in Ukraine. To identify the possible ways and mechanisms to restore the irrigation and drainage systems potential, the reasons of the existing state were analyzed and it was determined that the uncompleted land and economic reforms, imperfections in the existing legislation and state support mechanisms, especially in the sector management, caused the long-year underfunding of irrigation and drainage facilities operation and restoration and resulted in the crisis situation in the sector. Conclusions. Based on the study of the world experience and the carried out research, it was established that the restoration and development of irrigation and drainage in Ukraine are possible only along with the implementation of a legal and institutional reform to introduce decentralization, improvement of the existing legislation, modernization of irrigation and drainage systems through the development and implementation of investment projects for restoration and development of irrigation and drainage systems, creation of attractive investment environments, development and introduction of a financing mechanism to cover management, operation and maintenance costs based on a new tariff formation system, introduction of the scientific support and staffing system for the land reclamation sector. The basis for the deployment of irrigation and drainage restoration should be the "Irrigation and Drainage Strategy in Ukraine until 2030", and the appropriate plan of measures, formed on the basis of fundamentally new institutional, scientific, technical and technological, economic, organizational, social and environmental approaches, should become a tool for achieving the goals of the "Strategy ...". Successful implementation of the goals of irrigation and drainage restoration in Ukraine will create the conditions to sustainable and profitable agricultural production in the face of climate change, to restore irrigation on the area of about 1,0 to 1,2 mln. ha and drainage on the area of 1,0 mln. ha and to additionally get up to 10 mln. tons of grain, 8-10 mln. tons of fruit, berries and vegetables annually.
Relevance of research. In recent years, in Ukraine, the development of re-cultivated drained lands takes place, in particular, in the floodplains of the rivers. In the process of construction, drainage systems designed to protect agricultural land and adjoining areas against flooding are often disrupted. In addition, peat and silt deposits may be spread in the floodplain areas, which considerably complicate the construction. The transformation of agricultural drained lands of floodplains in the built-up areas is also associated with an increased risk of flooding, contamination of surface and groundwater, and requires compliance with environmental, water and land legislation. In this regard, an important issue is the study of water and environmental problems connected to the build-up of the land of reclamation systems in floodplains of rivers. The purpose of research - to identify possible water and ecological impacts and restrictions as to the development of drained lands within an floodplain of the Dnieper River. Objectives of the research - to analyze the available information on the geomorphological, hydrological and hydrogeological conditions of the floodplain territory; to evaluate the condition of the drainage system at the perspective site development; to determine possible changes in the water regime of the floodplain area in the zone of development impact; to evaluate the soil and ameliorate conditions of the territory with regard to its possible use for development and the compliance of the planned design solutions with the requirements of land and water legislation. Research methods. Generalization and systematic analysis of the information on the natural conditions of the territory and drainage system operation, carrying out of a reconnaissance survey of the drainage system specifying with the use of temporary well holes the peat deposit thickness, depths of groundwater, water level in reclamation canals and their current state, the implementation of field geodetic works, normative assessment of soil and ameliorative as well as engineering and geological conditions of the site as to its for development. Research results. The features of the current environmental and ameliorative situation regarding the possible obstacles to the housing complex construction and its further functioning, the likely or inevitable negative consequences of the floodplain development were determined. It was established that the existence of closed depressions in the microrelief against the background of the general low draining capacity of the floodplain territory, in case of extremely heavy rainfall, may cause the accumulation of surface runoff in the depressions and territory flooding. High groundwater level, deterioration of draining capacity, destruction of drainage drains during the construction will lead to the proliferation and intensification of man-made flooding processes in poorly-drained areas. One of the most complicating factors in the construction of the site is the wide spread of peat deposits, peat soils, silt, which, according to the general engineering and geological classification, are “weak” soils characterized by low bearing properties and can not be recommended as a basis for the foundations of ground structures and buildings. It has been determined that the existing “Shaparnya” drainage system is in unsatisfactory technical condition, and its parameters (rather low depth of drainage canal laying and a large distance between them) make it impossible to achieve the normative depths of groundwater for built-up areas. Conclusions. The area of weakly drained floodplain of the Dnieper River can be differentiated into weakly favorable and unfavorable parts for the construction of the territory, and the main complicating factors for the construction are the spread of peat deposits and peat soils, frequent underflooding of the territory and the risk of its flooding in a case of abnormal heavy high rainfall. The proper protection of the territory of residential development against underflooding and flooding should include the reconstruction of the drainage system, artificial increase of planning ground levels and ensuring the safe functioning of the existing at the site water body.
The article provides an analytical review of the achieved crop yields under irrigation in experimental and production conditions. For today, the best production experience in the use of irrigated land indicates that, subject to all agrotechnical requirements, the yield of early grain crops reaches 8-10 t / ha, corn - 10-14 t / ha, oilseeds - 4-6 t / ha, vegetable crops - over 60 t / ha, which is about 90% of their productivity achieved in the experiments of scientific institutions. The comparative assessment of grain production in different climatic zones of Ukraine for the period of the most intense climatic change shows that over the past thirty years, the share of grain production in the Steppe zone has decreased from 45 to 35% of the total in Ukraine. The analysis of service cost for the transportation of water for irrigation in the southern regions of Ukraine is given. It was revealed that, despite a unified standard method for calculating the cost of water transportation, its price varies significantly by operational units of the State Agency for Water Resources of Ukraine. The main factors of fluctuations in the cost and fees for the transportation services of water for irrigation are the budgetary funding level of operating organizations, providing these services, the number of water transfers, the volume of actual irrigation on irrigated lands, the share of irrigated areas in the service area. The economic assessment of irrigation efficiency when having different water and other technological costs, taking into account the depreciation of capital investments, indicates that having a water price of 4,0-5,0 UAH/m3, the gross profit from growing the most profitable field crops is 35-40 % higher than the efficiency in rainfed agriculture. At the cost of water is 3,0-3,5 UAH/m3 and the use of the production capacity of the inter-farm irrigation network by 60-70%, financial prerequisites will be created for the effective operation of these networks.
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