In regional studies, reanalysis datasets can extend precipitation time series with insufficient observations. In the present study, the ERA5 precipitation dataset was compared to observational datasets from meteorological stations in nine different precipitation zones of Iran (0.125° × 0.125° grid box) for the period 2000–2018, and measurement criteria and skill detection criteria were applied to analyze the datasets. The results of the daily analysis revealed that the correlation between ERA5 and observed precipitation were larger than 0.5 at 90% of stations. Also, The daily standard relative bias indicated that precipitation was overestimated in zone 6. As detection criteria, the frequency bias index (FBI) and proportion correct (PC) showed that the ERA5 data could capture daily precipitation events. Correlation confidence comparisons between the ERA5 and observational time series at daily, monthly, and seasonal scales revealed that the correlation confidence was higher at monthly and seasonal scales. The standard relative bias results at monthly and seasonal scales followed the daily relative bias results, and most of the ERA5 underestimations during the summer belonged to zone 1 in the coastal area of the Caspian Sea with convective precipitation. In addition, some complex mountainous regions were associated with overestimated precipitation, especially in northwest Iran (zone 6) in different time scales.

Drying lakes have become a new source of dust, causing severe problems in surrounding areas. From 2000 to 2017, a statistical study was conducted on Lake Urmia in Iran in the Middle East. The results indicated a significant increase in the annual number of dusty days in stations around the lake and the mean annual aerosol optical depth (AOD) at 550 nm. The sharp decrease in annual snowfall rate over the Lake Urmia area since 2007 has been linked to the lake’s decreasing water level and drying. During a dust storm event from 27 October to 31 October 2017, a local dust storm originated from Lake Urmia before another large-scale dust storm originated from the An-Nafud desert. According to MODIS true-color images, dust particles were lifted from Lake Urmia and transported eastward to the Caspian Sea and the HYSPLIT model. The comparison of the four models under the Sand and Dust Storm Warning Advisory and Assessment System (SDS-WAS) revealed that the models overestimated surface dust concentrations compared to ground-based PM10 measurements. Nevertheless, the NOAA/WRF-Chem and DREAMABOL models simulated higher dust concentrations during the dust period. More emphasis should be placed on the development of dust models for SDS-WAS models in Lake Urmia.

The water level of the Urmia Lake Basin (ULB), located in the northwest of Iran, started to decline dramatically about two decades ago. As a result, the area has become the focus of increasing scientific research. In order to improve understanding of the connections between declining lake level and changing local drought conditions, three common drought indices are employed to analyze the period 1981–2018: The Standard Precipitation Index (SPI), the Standard Precipitation-Evaporation Index (SPEI), and the Standardized Snow Melt and Rain Index (SMRI). Although rainfall is a significant indicator of water availability, temperature is also a key factor since it determines rates of evapotranspiration and snowmelt. These different processes are captured by the three drought indices mentioned above to describe drought in the catchment. Therefore, the main objective of this paper is to provide a comparative analysis of drought over the ULB by incorporating different drought indices. Since there is not enough long-term observational data of sufficiently high density for the ULB region, ECMWF Reanalysis data version 5(ERA5) has been used to estimate SPI, SPEI, and SMRI drought indicators. These are shown to work well, with AUC-ROC > 0.9, in capturing different classes of basin drought characteristics. The results show a downward trend for SPEI and SMRI (but not for SPI), suggesting that both evaporation and lack of snowmelt exacerbate droughts. Owing to the increasing temperatures in the basin and the decrease in snowfall, drought events have become particularly pronounced in the SPEI and SMRI time series since 1995. No significant SMRI drought was detected prior to 1995, thus indicating that sufficient snowfall was available at the beginning of the study period. The study results also reveal that the decrease in lake water level from 2010 to 2018 was not only caused by changes in the water balance components, but also by unsustainable water management.

The assessment of drought hazards is important due to their socio-economic impacts on water resources, agriculture, and ecosystems. In this study, the effects of drought on changing water area and canopy of the Lake Urmia watershed in the northwest of Iran have been monitored and evaluated. For this purpose, the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) was calculated in short and medium periods (1-month and 3-month) to determine the dry-spell periods in the Lake Urmia basin. In reviewing this analysis, the annual average has been examined and evaluated. Furthermore, Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and remote sensing data were used to calculate the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), the Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI), the Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI), and the Temperature–Vegetation–Dryness Index (TVDI) to identify the area of water body, water level, and vegetation changes during 20 years (2000–2020). The Pearson correlation coefficient was also employed to explore the relationship between the drought and the remote sensing-derived indices. According to the results of drought analysis, 2000, 2002, 2004, 2006, 2008, 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016, 2018, and 2020 had experienced dry spells in the Lake Urmia basin. The NDWI changes also showed that the maximum area of the Lake Urmia happened in 2000, and its minimum was recorded in 2014. The variation of NDVI values showed that the highest values of vegetation cover were estimated to be 2,850 km2 in.2000, and its lowest value was 1,300 km2 in.2014. The maximum EVI and TDVI were calculated in 2000, while their minimum was observed in 2012 and 2014. Also, the correlation analysis showed that the SPI had the highest correlation with NDVI. Meanwhile, 1-month SPI had a higher correlation than the 3-month SPI with NDVI and EVI. As a concluding remark, NDVI and NDWI were more suitable indices to monitor the changes in vegetation and drought-related water area. The results can be used to make sound decisions regarding the rapid assessment of remote sensing-derived data and water-related indices.

The 2030 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) offer a blueprint for global peace and prosperity, while conserving natural ecosystems and resources for the planet. However, factors such as climate-induced weather extremes and other High-Impact Low-Probability (HILP) events on their own can devastate lives and livelihoods. When a pandemic affects us, as COVID-19 has, any concurrent hazards interacting with it highlight additional challenges to disaster and emergency management worldwide. Such amplified effects contribute to greater societal and environmental risks, with cross-cutting impacts and exposing inequities. Hence, understanding how a pandemic affects the management of concurrent hazards and HILP is vital in disaster risk reduction practice. This study reviews the contemporary literature and utilizes data from the Emergency Events Database (EM-DAT) to unpack how multiple extreme events have interacted with the coronavirus pandemic and affected the progress in achieving the SDGs. This study is especially urgent, given the multidimensional societal impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic amidst climate change. Results indicate that mainstreaming risk management into development planning can mitigate the adverse effects of disasters. Successes in addressing compound risks have helped us understand the value of new technologies, such as the use of drones and robots to limit human exposure. Enhancing data collection efforts to enable inclusive sentinel systems can improve surveillance and effective response to future risk challenges. Stay-at-home policies put in place during the pandemic for virus containment have highlighted the need to holistically consider the built environment and socio-economic exigencies when addressing the pandemic’s physical and mental health impacts, and could also aid in the context of increasing climate-induced extreme events. As we have seen, such policies, services, and technologies, along with good nutrition, can significantly help safeguard health and well-being in pandemic times, especially when simultaneously faced with ubiquitous climate-induced extreme events. In the final decade of SDG actions, these measures may help in efforts to “Leave No One Behind”, enhance human–environment relations, and propel society to embrace sustainable policies and lifestyles that facilitate building back better in a post-pandemic world. Concerted actions that directly target the compounding effects of different interacting hazards should be a critical priority of the Sendai Framework by 2030.