Using data obtained from tide gages in South America, current meters along the equator and the Peru coast, and an array of pressure gages and inverted echo sounders within and around the Galapagos archipelago, we have analyzed the equatorial origin of coastal trapped waves observed by Cornejo‐Rodriquez and Enfield (this issue) along the Peru coast during the intense 1982–1983 El Niño. The propagating fluctuations along the coast were much stronger at that time than either before or after the El Niño, and the variability was not locally forced by coastal winds. We find that the coastal variability was also more energetic during previous El Niño occurrences. At periods of 1–2 weeks the meridional component of currents on the equator is up to an order of magnitude more energetic than the zonal fluctuations and is consistently associated with sea level that fluctuates antisymmetrically between hemispheres. At periods longer than 2 weeks the zonal velocity component is more energetic, and the cross‐equatorial sea level variability is symmetric. The meridional and zonal phase structures of cross spectra involving the currents and sea level establish the 1‐ to 2‐week equatorial fluctuations as mixed Rossby‐gravity (Yanai) waves of low wave number with infinite phase speed (standing oscillations) in the middle of the band (10 days); the corresponding structures for longer periods are consistent with nondispersive Kelvin waves. Frequency domain EOF modes of the sea level and current data establish the mixed Rossby‐gravity waves as the principal source of the strong trapped wave variability in the 1‐ to 2‐week band along the Ecuador‐Peru coast during the 1982–1983 El Niño episode.
Duran is a coastal city located in the Guayas Estuary region in which 24% of urban sectors suffers from the effects of chronic flooding. This study seeks to assess the causes of Duran’s vulnerability by considering exposure, population sensitivity and adaptive capacity to establish alternatives to reduce its vulnerability to flooding. An operational framework is proposed based on the vulnerability definition of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and applying a census-based Index of Vulnerability, a geographic information system and local knowledge of urban development. A Principal Component and equal weighting analysis were applied as well as a spatial clustering to explore the spatial vulnerability across the city. A total of 34% of the city area is mapped as having high and very high vulnerability, mostly occupied by informal settlements (e.g., 288 hectares). Underlying factors were poor quality housing, lack of city services and low adaptive capacity of the community. However, some government housing programs (e.g., El Recreo), with better housing and adaptive capacity were also highly vulnerable. Limited urban planning governance has led to the overloading of storm water and drainage infrastructure which cause chronic flooding. Understanding the underlying causes of vulnerability is critical in order develop integrated strategies that increase city resilience to climate change.
Tide and wind data from coastal and island stations from Buenaventura, Colombia (4°N), to Callao, Peru (12°S), have been analyzed for the 1979–1984 time period to determine the propagation and forcing characteristics of coastal sea level variability at periods of days to weeks, as well as how they vary either with season or between the 1982–1983 El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) period and non‐ENSO years. During four non‐ENSO years, the ensemble averaged cross spectra between coastal sea level height (SLH) and local winds show weak evidence of local forcing during the whole year without significant differences between the austral summer and winter seasons, other than a greater energy in the wind fluctuations at Talara during summer. Cross spectra between SLH series from neighboring stations show evidence of poleward phase propagation during winter seasons at speeds of about 2.0 m s−1.between La Libertad and Talara at periods of a week or more, and about 2.7 m s−1 between Talara and Callao at periods of 5–11 days, but no propagation is found during summers. During the 1982–1983 ENSO there is a large increase in SLH energy at most frequencies at all coastal stations, but especially in the 8‐to‐11‐day band, where energies are enhanced by as much as an order of magnitude above non‐ENSO levels. The cross spectra between adjacent SLH stations indicate a nondispersive poleward propagation of events during the 1982–1983 ENSO with phase speeds of 2.2–3.5 m s−1 from La Libertad to Talara (periods of a week or more) and 3.4–3.6 m s−1 from Talara to Callao (3.5 days or more). As with the SLH energy, the coherence and phase propagation were much stronger along the Peru coast in 1982–1983 than during non‐ENSO periods, especially in the 8‐to‐11‐day band. The one‐third increase in phase speeds during the ENSO over the non‐ENSO speeds is found to be consistent with the anomalous depression of the density structure during El Niño. Comparisons between coastal SLH and the local alongshore wind suggest that locally forced SLH variability was obscured during the 1982–1983 ENSO by the noncoastally forced, but energetic propagating fluctuations, which probably originated in the equatorial waveguide.
Guayaquil, Ecuador, is in a tropical area on the equatorial Pacific Ocean coast of South America. Since 2008 the city has been increasing its population, vehicle fleet and manufacturing industries. Within the city there are various industrial and urban land uses sharing the same space. With regard to air quality there is a lack of government information on it. Therefore, the research’s aim was to investigate the spatio-temporal characteristics of PM1 and PM2.5 concentrations and their main influencing factors. For this, both PM fractions were sampled and a bivariate analysis (cross-correlation and Pearson's correlation), multivariate linear and logistic regression analysis was applied. Hourly and daily PM1 and PM2.5 were the dependent variables, and meteorological variables, occurrence of events and characteristics of land use were the independent variables. We found 48% exceedances of the PM2.5-24 h World Health Organization 2021 threshold’s, which questions the city’s air quality. The cross-correlation function and Pearson’s correlation analysis indicate that hourly and daily temperature, relative humidity, and wind speed have a complex nonlinear relationship with PM concentrations. Multivariate linear and logistic regression models for PM1-24 h showed that rain and the flat orography of cement plant sector decrease concentrations; while unusual PM emission events (traffic jams and vegetation-fires) increase them. The same models for PM2.5-24 h show that the dry season and the industrial sector (strong activity) increase the concentration of PM2.5-24 h, and the cement plant decrease them. Public policies and interventions should aim to regulate land uses while continuously monitoring emission sources, both regular and unusual.
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