Background More than ten years have elapsed since human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination was implemented. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of the population-level impact of female-only HPV vaccination on HPV infections, anogenital wart diagnoses (AGW) and cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2+ (CIN2+) to summarise the most recent evidence about the effectiveness of HPV vaccines in real-world settings and to quantify the impact of multiple age-cohort vaccination. Methods We updated our prior review (01/01/2007-28/02/2014), by searching Medline and Embase (01/02/2014-11/10/2018) for studies that examined changes, between pre-and post-vaccination periods, in HPV infections, AGW, or CIN2+. We stratified all analyses by sex, age, and years since HPV vaccination introduction. We used random-effects models to estimate pooled relative risks and performed subgroup analysis to identify the main sources of heterogeneity. Findings We identified 65 eligible articles conducted in 14 high-income countries. After 5-8 years of vaccination, HPV-16/18, AGW, and CIN2+ decreased significantly by about 80%, 70%, and 50% among girls aged 15-19 years and by 65%, 55%, and 30% among women aged 20-24 years. Significant cross-protection and herd effects were also observed. HPV-31/33/45 decreased significantly by 50% among girls aged 15-19 years and AGW decreased significantly by 30-50% among boys/men aged 15-24 years. After 5-8 years of vaccination, countries with multi-cohort vaccination and high coverage (≥50%) had greater reductions in AGW, 44 and 85 percentage points among girls and boys aged 15-19 years, respectively, than countries with single-cohort vaccination and/or low vaccination coverage. Interpretation Our meta-analysis, including data from >60 million individuals from 14 high-income countries, shows a substantial impact of female-only HPV vaccination programs on AGW among girls/women and boys/men, and HPV infections and CIN2+ among girls/women. In addition, programs with multi-cohort vaccination and high vaccination coverage lead to greater and faster direct impact and herd effects. CONTRIBUTIONS MD, MB, and MCB conceived the study. MD, EB and NP did the literature search and performed the analysis. MB and MCB participated in the analysis. MD and MB co-drafted the first version of the article.

Bivalent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine was incorporated into the childhood vaccination calendar in Galicia, Spain in 2008. The objectives of this study were to estimate direct, indirect and total effectiveness of HPV vaccine and to identify sexual habits changes in the post-vaccination period in Galicia, Spain.Endocervical scrapings of 745 women attending 7 Health Areas of the Galician Public Health Service were collected in the post-vaccination period, from 2014–2017. Two groups were studied: women born between 1989 and 1993 (n = 397) and women born in 1994 or later (n = 348). Twelve high-risk human papillomavirus (HR-HPV) genotypes were detected by Cobas® 4800 HPV test (Roche Diagnostics, Mannheim, Germany). The Linear Array® HPV Genotyping Test (Roche Diagnostics) was used for HR-HPV genotype detection other than HPV 16/18. Information about sexual habits was collected by a self-filled questionnaire. Post-vaccination data were compared to previously published pre-vaccination data obtained between 2008 and 2010 in Galicia from women of the same age (18–26 years old, n = 523). The Stata 14.2 software was employed for statistical analyses.Data from 392 unvaccinated and 353 vaccinated women were compared. For unvaccinated and vaccinated women, HPV 16/18 prevalence was 9.2% and 0.8%, respectively, and HPV 31/33/45 prevalence was 8.4% and 1.1%, respectively. Direct, indirect and total effectiveness of the HPV vaccine were (%, 95% CI): 94 (72−99), 30 (-11−56) and 95 (79−99), respectively, for HPV 16/18 and 83 (46−94), -10 (-88−33) and 84 (54−94), respectively, for HPV 31/33/45. The number of women with first intercourse before 17 years old and 3 or more sexual partners along life was higher in the post-vaccination period (p < 0.05). A positive impact of bivalent HPV vaccine was observed, both on direct and cross protection. Sexual habits could have changed in the post-vaccination period.

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Conclusiones: La incidencia de HA aumenta en Galicia en el período 2016-2018 por un brote en HSH. La susceptibilidad se incrementa entre jóvenes, lo que hace necesario insistir en la vacunación de los grupos de riesgo.

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