In Chile, as in many South American countries, Keywords: Pavement design, asphalt pavements, probabilistic assessment ResumenEn Chile, como en muchos países de Suramérica, AASHTO 93 es el método oficial para el diseño de pavimentos asfálticos. El método entrega un número estimado de ejes equivalentes estándar de 80 kN que el pavimento puede soportar hasta alcanzar un cierto valor de serviciabilidad. Un factor de seguridad es luego aplicado al número estimado de ejes equivalente tomando en cuenta el nivel de confianza y la varianza estimada de los datos de entrada utilizados en el método, con lo cuál se estima la magnitud del ciclo de vida de la estructura. Normalmente, los datos utilizados en el método AASHTO 93 son asumidos como valores deterministas, sin tomar en cuenta su naturaleza aleatoria. Este trabajo presenta una evaluación probabilística del método de diseño AASHTO 93 de pavimentos bajo condiciones chilenas, el cuáll proporciona un conjunto de funciones de densidad de probabilidad, que permiten realizar la estimación probabilística del ciclo de vida del pavimento en términos del valor del número de ejes equivalente. Para alcanzar el objetivo se desarrollo un modelo de simulación a partir de una muestra de 13 grupos de carreteras ubicados a largo de Chile.Palabras clave: Diseño de pavimentos, pavimentos en asfalto, evaluación probabilística

The lack of updating and unreliability of information has become one of the main problems that occur in the area of management of unpaved roads in developing countries as Colombia. Therefore, a GIS-based application was developed which allows keeping updated all the information at the structural and functional level of the road, and to control the premature pavement deterioration favouring the support for making decisions in management activities of the unpaved road network. In the municipality of Urrao (Antioquia), a research proposal on “La Encarnación” road was proposed. The Road Trial Section (RTS) is part of a bidirectional 3rd level road, which has 240 m-length and a 4 m-width. The RTS was divided into eight segments or cells (30 m-length), where each of them was stabilized with different conventional and unconventional materials (cement, hydrated lime, coal ash, brick dust, sulfonated oil, polymer and sugarcane sludge). Based on the results gathered in six pavement performance follow-up and evaluation campaigns, a geospatial database (GDB) was designed. This GDB is the core of the application “SGVVT Urrao v1.0” which is able to represent graphically the behaviour of the tests of functionality and the bearing capacity carried out (International Roughness Index, slip resistance, surface macro texture, lightweight deflectometer and visual inspection). The application is able to forecast the deterioration values allowing the prioritization of rehabilitation activities for the most affected sections in a given time period which is possible to extend the useful life of the roads, reduce the operation cost of the vehicles, and guarantee the road safety and the comfort of the unpaved road network users.