Most of the studies related to human mobility are focused on intra-country mobility. However, there are many scenarios (e.g., spreading diseases, migration) in which timely data on international commuters are vital. Mobile phones represent a unique opportunity to monitor international mobility flows in a timely manner and with proper spatial aggregation. This work proposes using roaming data generated by mobile phones to model incoming and outgoing international mobility. We use the gravity and radiation models to capture mobility flows before and during the introduction of non-pharmaceutical interventions. However, traditional models have some limitations: for instance, mobility restrictions are not explicitly captured and may play a crucial role. To overtake such limitations, we propose the COVID Gravity Model (CGM), namely an extension of the traditional gravity model that is tailored for the pandemic scenario. This proposed approach overtakes, in terms of accuracy, the traditional models by 126.9% for incoming mobility and by 63.9% when modeling outgoing mobility flows.

The increasingly crucial role of human displacements in complex societal phenomena, such as traffic congestion, segregation, and the diffusion of epidemics, is attracting the interest of scientists from several disciplines. In this article, we address mobility network generation, i.e., generating a city’s entire mobility network, a weighted directed graph in which nodes are geographic locations and weighted edges represent people’s movements between those locations, thus describing the entire mobility set flows within a city. Our solution is MoGAN, a model based on Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) to generate realistic mobility networks. We conduct extensive experiments on public datasets of bike and taxi rides to show that MoGAN outperforms the classical Gravity and Radiation models regarding the realism of the generated networks. Our model can be used for data augmentation and performing simulations and what-if analysis.

Urban planners, authorities, and numerous additional players have to deal with challenges related to the rapid urbanization process and its effect on human mobility and transport dynamics. Hence, optimize transportation systems represents a unique occasion for municipalities. Indeed, the quality of transport is linked to economic growth, and by decreasing traffic congestion, the life quality of the inhabitants is drastically enhanced. Most state-of-the-art solutions optimize traffic in specific and small zones of cities (e.g., single intersections) and cannot be used to gather insights for an entire city. Moreover, evaluating such optimized policies in a realistic way that is convincing for policy-makers can be extremely expensive. In our work, we propose a reinforcement learning frameworks to overtake these two limitations. In particular, we use human mobility data to optimize the transport dynamics of three real-world cities (i.e., Berlin, Santiago de Chile, Dakar) and a synthesized one (i.e., SynthTown). To this end, we transform the transportation dynamics' simulator MATSim into a realistic reinforcement learning environment able to optimize and evaluate transportation policies using agents that perform realistic daily activities and trips. In this way, we can assess transportation policies in a manner that is convincing for policy-makers. Finally, we develop a model-based reinforcement learning algorithm that approximates MATSim dynamics with a Partially Observable Discrete Event Decision Process (PODEDP) and, with respect to other state-of-art policy optimization techniques, can scale on big transportation data and find optimal policies also on a city-scale.