The COVID-19 disease caused by the coronavirus SARS-nCoV2 is currently a global public health threat and Italy is one of the countries mostly suffering from this epidemic. It is therefore important to analyze epidemic data, considering also that the government deployed laws limiting the societal activities. We model COVID-19 dynamics with a SIQR (susceptibleinfectious-quarantined-recovered) model, where we take into account the temporal variability of its parameters. Particle Swarm Optimization is used to find out the best parameters in the case of Italy and of Italian regions where the epidemic has the greatest impact. The basic reproductive number is estimated by a novel approach that averages out different PSO fits computed considering different temporal time-windows and reducing possible noise in the data. The results on data collected from February 24 to April 24 show that our approach is able to fit the data with low errors and that the basic reproductive number is characterized by a descending trend in time from 3.5 to a value below 1.
This work involved human subjects or animals in its research. Approval of all ethical and experimental procedures and protocols was granted by the Ethical Committee Campus Bio-Medico University under Application No. 60/12 PAR ComEt CBM and Registered at ClinicalTrials.gov under Identifier No. NCT03583723.
The exponential growth of IoT devices, smartphones, smartwatches, and vehicles equipped with positioning technology, such as Global Positioning System (GPS) modules, has boosted the development of location-based services for several applications in Intelligent Transportation Systems. However, the inherent error of location-based technologies makes it necessary to align the positioning trajectories to the actual underlying road network, a process known as map-matching. To the best of our knowledge, there are no comprehensive tools that allow us to model street networks, conduct topological and spatial analyses of the underlying street graph, perform map-matching processes on GPS point trajectories, and deeply analyse and elaborate these reconstructed trajectories. To address this issue, we present PyTrack, an open-source map-matching-based Python toolbox designed for academics, researchers and practitioners that integrate the recorded GPS coordinates with data provided by the OpenStreetMap, an open-source geographic information system. This manuscript overviews the architecture of the library offering a detailed description of its capabilities and modules. Besides, we provide an introductory guide to getting started with PyTrack covering the most fundamental steps of our framework. For more information on PyTrack, users are encouraged to visit the official repository at https://github.com/cosbidev/PyTrack or the official documentation at https://pytrack-lib.readthedocs.io.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.