Volcanic eruptions contribute to climate variability, but quantifying these contributions has been limited by inconsistencies in the timing of atmospheric volcanic aerosol loading determined from ice cores and subsequent cooling from climate proxies such as tree rings. Here we resolve these inconsistencies and show that large eruptions in the tropics and high latitudes were primary drivers of interannual-to-decadal temperature variability in the Northern Hemisphere during the past 2,500 years. Our results are based on new records of atmospheric aerosol loading developed from high-resolution, multi-parameter measurements from an array of Greenland and Antarctic ice cores as well as distinctive age markers to constrain chronologies. Overall, cooling was proportional to the magnitude of volcanic forcing and persisted for up to ten years after some of the largest eruptive episodes. Our revised timescale more firmly implicates volcanic eruptions as catalysts in the major sixth-century pandemics, famines, and socioeconomic disruptions in Eurasia and Mesoamerica while allowing multi-millennium quantification of climate response to volcanic forcing.
New tree‐ring records of ring‐width from remnant preserved wood are analyzed to extend the record of reconstructed annual flows of the Colorado River at Lee Ferry into the Medieval Climate Anomaly, when epic droughts are hypothesized from other paleoclimatic evidence to have affected various parts of western North America. The most extreme low‐frequency feature of the new reconstruction, covering A.D. 762‐2005, is a hydrologic drought in the mid‐1100s. The drought is characterized by a decrease of more than 15% in mean annual flow averaged over 25 years, and by the absence of high annual flows over a longer period of about six decades. The drought is consistent in timing with dry conditions inferred from tree‐ring data in the Great Basin and Colorado Plateau, but regional differences in intensity emphasize the importance of basin‐specific paleoclimatic data in quantifying likely effects of drought on water supply.
Great Basin bristlecone pine (Pinus longaeva) at 3 sites in western North America near the upper elevation limit of tree growth showed ring growth in the second half of the 20th century that was greater than during any other 50-year period in the last 3,700 years. The accelerated growth is suggestive of an environmental change unprecedented in millennia. The high growth is not overestimated because of standardization techniques, and it is unlikely that it is a result of a change in tree growth form or that it is predominantly caused by CO2 fertilization. The growth surge has occurred only in a limited elevational band within Ϸ150 m of upper treeline, regardless of treeline elevation. Both an independent proxy record of temperature and high-elevation meteorological temperature data are positively and significantly correlated with upper-treeline ring width both before and during the high-growth interval. Increasing temperature at high elevations is likely a prominent factor in the modern unprecedented level of growth for Pinus longaeva at these sites.climate change ͉ dendrochronology ͉ Great Basin ͉ tree rings ͉ treeline B ackground. Bristlecone pine (Pinus longaeva) is notable for its individual trees that attain great age, for its use in the calibration of the radiocarbon timescale, and for its role in providing an element in millennial-scale multiproxy reconstructions of temperature. The ring-width chronologies from long-lived bristlecone pine are annually resolved and can reach back thousands of years, making these high-resolution multimillennial proxy records of climate a rare and valuable resource in paleoclimatology. Uppertreeline bristlecone pine site locations are cold for much of the year and can be extremely dry during the summer growing season. As a result, these high-elevation tree-ring series contain some information on moisture availability, but they also bear an important imprint of temperature variability, so that both types of signal may be present in records from the upper treeline (1-7). There are interannual responses to precipitation variations at all elevations, including some degree of high-frequency variability related to extreme drought conditions at the upper treeline (8), although the variability related to precipitation is more pronounced at lower elevations (1, 9). Conversely, the main decadal to multidecadal ring-width variability at treeline locations may be related more closely to temperature than to precipitation (10). Despite the challenges in using these natural archives of climate successfully, we argue that it is worthwhile to make considerable effort to achieve the best possible use of this concentration of long annual records.
Many years of low growth identified in a western USA regional chronology of upper forest border bristlecone pine (Pinus longaeva and Pinus aristata) over the last 5000 yr coincide with known large explosive volcanic eruptions and/or ice core signals of past eruptions. Over the last millennium the agreement between the tree-ring data and volcano/ice-core data is high: years of ring-width minima can be matched with known volcanic eruptions or ice-core volcanic signals in 86% of cases. In previous millennia, while there is substantial concurrence, the agreement decreases with increasing antiquity. Many of the bristlecone pine ring-width minima occurred at the same time as ring-width minima in high latitude trees from northwestern Siberia and/or northern Finland over the past 4000–5000 yr, suggesting climatically-effective events of at least hemispheric scale. In contrast with the ice-core records, the agreement between widely separated tree-ring records does not decrease with increasing antiquity. These data suggest specific intervals when the climate system was or was not particularly sensitive enough to volcanic forcing to affect the trees, and they augment the ice core record in a number of ways: by providing confirmation from an alternative proxy record for volcanic signals, by suggesting alternative dates for eruptions, and by adding to the list of years when volcanic events of global significance were likely, including the mid-2nd-millennium BC eruption of Thera.
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