To describe the relationship between the use of laboratory tests and changes in laboratory parameters in ICU patients is necessary to help optimize routine laboratory testing. A retrospective, descriptive study was conducted on the large eICU-Collaborative Research Database. The relationship between the use of routine laboratory tests (chemistry and blood counts) and changes in ten common laboratory parameters was studied. Factors associated with laboratory tests were identified in a multivariate regression analysis using generalized estimating equation Poisson models. The study included 138,734 patient stays, with an ICU mortality of 8.97%. For all parameters, the proportion of patients with at least one test decreased from day 0 to day 1 and then gradually increased until the end of the ICU stay. Paradoxically, the results of almost all tests moved toward normal values, and the daily variation in the results of almost all tests decreased over time. The presence of an arterial catheter or teaching hospitals were independently associated with an increase in the number of laboratory tests performed. The paradox of routine laboratory testing should be further explored by assessing the factors that drive the decision to perform routine laboratory testing in ICU and the impact of such testing on patient.
Background
Chest radiographs are routinely performed in intensive care unit (ICU) to confirm the correct position of an endotracheal tube (ETT) relative to the carina. However, their interpretation is often challenging and requires substantial time and expertise. The aim of this study was to propose an externally validated deep learning model with uncertainty quantification and image segmentation for the automated assessment of ETT placement on ICU chest radiographs.
Methods
The CarinaNet model was constructed by applying transfer learning to the RetinaNet model using an internal dataset of ICU chest radiographs. The accuracy of the model in predicting the position of the ETT tip and carina was externally validated using a dataset of 200 images extracted from the MIMIC-CXR database. Uncertainty quantification was performed using the level of confidence in the ETT–carina distance prediction. Segmentation of the ETT was carried out using edge detection and pixel clustering.
Results
The interrater agreement was 0.18 cm for the ETT tip position, 0.58 cm for the carina position, and 0.60 cm for the ETT–carina distance. The mean absolute error of the model on the external test set was 0.51 cm for the ETT tip position prediction, 0.61 cm for the carina position prediction, and 0.89 cm for the ETT–carina distance prediction. The assessment of ETT placement was improved by complementing the human interpretation of chest radiographs with the CarinaNet model.
Conclusions
The CarinaNet model is an efficient and generalizable deep learning algorithm for the automated assessment of ETT placement on ICU chest radiographs. Uncertainty quantification can bring the attention of intensivists to chest radiographs that require an experienced human interpretation. Image segmentation provides intensivists with chest radiographs that are quickly interpretable and allows them to immediately assess the validity of model predictions. The CarinaNet model is ready to be evaluated in clinical studies.
Graphical Abstract
In this paper, we present a spatialized extension of a SIR model that accounts for undetected infections and recoveries as well as the load on hospital services. The spatialized compartmental model we introduce is governed by a set of partial differential equations (PDEs) defined on a spatial domain with complex boundary. We propose to solve the set of PDEs defining our model by using a meshless numerical method based on a finite difference scheme in which the spatial operators are approximated by using radial basis functions. Such an approach is reputed as flexible for solving problems on complex domains. Then we calibrate our model on the French department of Isère during the first period of lockdown, using daily reports of hospital occupancy in France. Our methodology allows to simulate the spread of Covid-19 pandemic at a departmental level, and for each compartment. However, the simulation cost prevents from online short-term forecast. Therefore, we propose to rely on reduced order modeling tools to compute short-term forecasts of infection number. The strategy consists in learning a time-dependent reduced order model with few compartments from a collection of evaluations of our spatialized detailed model, varying initial conditions and parameter values. A set of reduced bases is learnt in an offline phase while the projection on each reduced basis and the selection of the best projection is performed online, allowing short-term forecast of the global number of infected individuals in the department.
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