Aim: Stroke is common in older people. The objective of the study was to determine if older stroke patients have a higher mortality and disability compared with younger patients for comparable stroke severity and pathology and whether there is an explanation for the difference. Methods: A prospective study was undertaken in 296 consecutive patients admitted with acute stroke. Patients were studied for neurological features, pre-stroke functional disability, severity of stroke defined by stroke syndromes and pathology of stroke on CT scans (202 patients). Post-stroke disability was defined according to the functional status within 72 h of admission. A record was made of the intercurrent illness while the patients were in acute wards and of the risk factors. Patients were dichotomised into two age groups: younger group – up to 75 years (163 patients) and older group – over 75 years (133 patients). Outcome was measured according to (1) discharge status from acute wards, i.e., dead or alive, and (2) mortality at 3 months. Results: Although there was no significant difference in severe clinical stroke syndromes (p = 0.72), CT scan features (p = 0.68) and pyrexia (0.38) between the two age groups, the older patients had significantly more disabling strokes as defined on Barthel Index (p = 0.015) and a higher mortality in the acute phase (p < 0.01) and at 3 months (p = 0.001). The older stroke patients had more severe pre-stroke disability (p < 0.001) and more severe neurological impairment for similar stroke severity and pathology. Early mortality was more influenced by pre-stroke global health than age whereas 3-month mortality was influenced by age to the exclusion of all other known prognostic factors. Conclusion: The older stroke patients have more disabling stroke and an increased mortality for a similar spectrum of stroke severity and pathology. The explanation for higher mortality of the older patients is the poor pre-stroke health and higher immediate post-stroke disability.
Objectives: to compare the use of two falls risk-identification tools (Downton and STRATIFY) with clinical judgment (based upon the observation of wandering behaviour) in predicting falls of medically stable patients in a rehabilitation ward for older people. Methods: in a prospective observational study, with blinded end-point evaluation, 200 patients admitted to a geriatric rehabilitation hospital had a STRATIFY and Downton Fall Risk assessment and were observed for wandering behaviour. Results:wandering had a predictive accuracy of 78%. A total of 157/200 were identified correctly compared to 100/200 using the Downton score (P<0.0001 95%, CI 0.18-0.42), or 93/200 using STRATIFY (P<0.0001; 95% CI 0.15-0.37).The Downton and STRATIFY tools demonstrated predictive accuracies of 50% and 46.5%, respectively, with no statistical significance between the two (P = 0.55; 95% CI 0.77-1.71). Sensitivity for predicting falls using wandering was 43.1% (22/51). This was significantly worse than Downton 92.2% (47/51: P<0.001) and STRATIFY 82.3% (42/51: P<0.001). Conclusions: this study showed that clinical observation had a higher accuracy than two used falls risk-assessment tools. However it was significantly less sensitive implying that fewer patients who fell were correctly identified as being at risk.
Significant differences were identified in the performance and complexity between the four risk assessment tools studied. The STRATIFY tool was the shortest and easiest to complete and had the highest predictive value but the lowest sensitivity.
This study shows that falls might be reduced in a multidisciplinary fall-prevention program, but the results are not definitive because of the borderline significance achieved and the variable length of stay. More research on fall prevention in hospital is required, particularly as to what interventions, if any, are effective at reducing falls in this group of patients.
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